Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:11

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 32.9/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 27.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,241
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
132 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,774.96
Current Value
$13,966.14
Period P&L
$2,191.16
Max Drawdown
-24.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+10.16%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
+2.55%
Avg Hold Time
16.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$202,950.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,191.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,191.16
Gross Return
+18.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 132 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $11,774.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 9:55am ET $70.36 164 $11,538.22
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $77.50 164 $12,710.00 $12,717.98 +$1,171.78
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:25am ET $78.29 162 $12,682.17
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:25am ET $77.52 162 $12,557.43 $12,593.24 $-124.74
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $78.88 159 $12,541.92
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $77.80 159 $12,370.20 $12,421.52 $-171.72
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 11:25am ET $77.58 160 $12,412.80
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:20am ET $74.36 160 $11,897.60 $11,906.32 $-515.20
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $73.94 161 $11,904.34
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $78.43 161 $12,626.43 $12,628.40 +$722.09
(+6.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:10am ET $80.56 156 $12,566.60
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $87.00 156 $13,572.00 $13,633.81 +$1,005.40
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $78.48 173 $13,577.66
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:35am ET $75.32 173 $13,030.36 $13,086.51 $-547.30
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $84.14 155 $13,041.70
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $89.82 155 $13,921.33 $13,966.14 +$879.63
(+6.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,966.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,966.14
Total Return: +39.66%
Back to Victor Volume