Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

44
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
22.4/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
6.0/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 55.9/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 43.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,709
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,431.97
Current Value
$15,175.76
Period P&L
$2,743.80
Max Drawdown
-8.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.45

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+8.36%
Worst Trade
-4.02%
Avg Trade Return
+2.24%
Avg Hold Time
15.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$225,797.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,743.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,743.80
Gross Return
+22.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,431.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 3:35pm ET $191.91 66 $12,665.73
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 2:35pm ET $186.74 66 $12,324.51 $12,496.97 $-341.22
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 3:50pm ET $186.36 67 $12,486.12
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:05am ET $201.41 67 $13,494.14 $13,504.99 +$1,008.02
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $203.56 66 $13,434.96
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 12:40pm ET $210.06 66 $13,863.96 $13,933.99 +$429.00
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 3:30pm ET $211.39 65 $13,740.35
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $206.24 65 $13,405.60 $13,599.24 $-334.75
(-2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $204.05 66 $13,467.30
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $221.11 66 $14,593.26 $14,725.20 +$1,125.96
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $219.90 66 $14,513.40
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $237.57 66 $15,679.62 $15,891.42 +$1,166.22
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET $239.99 66 $15,839.01
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $238.63 66 $15,749.58 $15,801.99 $-89.43
(-0.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $243.49 64 $15,583.04
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:35am ET $233.70 64 $14,956.81 $15,175.76 $-626.23
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,175.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,175.76
Total Return: +51.76%
Back to Victor Volume