Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:07

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
6.6/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 14.8/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 11.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,216
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,938.98
Current Value
$10,518.36
Period P&L
$579.38
Max Drawdown
-18.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+12.79%
Worst Trade
-4.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.98%
Avg Hold Time
16.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$149,730.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$579.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$579.38
Gross Return
+5.83%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,938.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 3:50pm ET $90.40 109 $9,853.06
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $101.96 109 $11,113.64 $11,189.21 +$1,260.59
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET $102.20 109 $11,139.80
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:35am ET $99.81 109 $10,879.29 $10,928.70 $-260.51
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 3:35pm ET $99.89 109 $10,888.01
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $95.81 109 $10,443.29 $10,483.98 $-444.72
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $97.49 107 $10,431.43
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $100.76 107 $10,781.32 $10,833.87 +$349.89
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $100.81 107 $10,786.67
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $102.57 107 $10,974.99 $11,022.19 +$188.32
(+1.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
12.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $91.26 120 $10,951.80
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $87.50 120 $10,499.40 $10,569.79 $-452.40
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $86.94 121 $10,519.74
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $86.51 121 $10,468.31 $10,518.36 $-51.43
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,518.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$518.36
Total Return: +5.18%
Back to Victor Volume