Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 00:07:03

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
28.7/35
Total Return
18.1/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
6.9/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality 69.5/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 61.6

30-Day Momentum

36
+12.0%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 59.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,222
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,277.93
Current Value
$25,059.26
Period P&L
$4,781.32
Max Drawdown
-18.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
7 / 3
Best Trade
+8.30%
Worst Trade
-4.52%
Avg Trade Return
+2.44%
Avg Hold Time
13.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$431,295.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,781.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,781.32
Gross Return
+23.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $20,277.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $174.91 114 $19,939.74
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $181.76 114 $20,720.64 $20,732.80 +$780.90
(+3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:10pm ET $180.20 115 $20,723.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $184.51 115 $21,218.66 $21,228.46 +$495.66
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $183.27 115 $21,076.05
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $174.99 115 $20,123.85 $20,276.26 $-952.20
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $183.49 110 $20,183.35
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET $175.25 110 $19,277.50 $19,370.41 $-905.85
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:50am ET $158.26 122 $19,307.72
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:50am ET $167.34 122 $20,414.87 $20,477.56 +$1,107.15
(+5.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $178.53 114 $20,352.42
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:25am ET $193.35 114 $22,041.90 $22,167.04 +$1,689.48
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $190.17 116 $22,059.72
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $191.94 116 $22,265.04 $22,372.36 +$205.32
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 3:05pm ET $193.05 115 $22,200.75
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:05am ET $208.85 115 $24,017.75 $24,189.36 +$1,817.00
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $215.94 112 $24,185.28
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $207.04 112 $23,188.48 $23,192.56 $-996.80
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $209.69 110 $23,065.90
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:10am ET $226.66 110 $24,932.60 $25,059.26 +$1,866.70
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,059.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,059.26
Total Return: +150.59%
Back to Victor Volume