Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:51

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.4/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 29.9/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 23.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,224
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
129 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,223.24
Current Value
$14,242.45
Period P&L
$1,019.21
Max Drawdown
-27.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+8.28%
Worst Trade
-5.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.95%
Avg Hold Time
11.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$341,576.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,019.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,019.21
Gross Return
+7.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 129 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $13,223.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 1:30pm ET $146.30 88 $12,874.40
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 1:30pm ET $157.07 88 $13,822.16 $13,916.69 +$947.76
(+7.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 3:40pm ET $157.12 88 $13,826.56
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET $150.44 88 $13,238.72 $13,328.85 $-587.84
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 12:15pm ET $148.04 90 $13,323.60
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:45am ET $160.30 90 $14,427.00 $14,432.25 +$1,103.40
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 3:50pm ET $162.02 89 $14,419.78
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $155.16 89 $13,809.24 $13,821.71 $-610.54
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $158.73 87 $13,809.51
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:10am ET $171.47 87 $14,917.46 $14,929.66 +$1,107.95
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $174.14 85 $14,801.48
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $167.00 85 $14,195.00 $14,323.18 $-606.47
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $168.82 84 $14,180.88
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET $182.37 84 $15,318.66 $15,460.96 +$1,137.78
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $182.13 84 $15,299.34
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $181.68 84 $15,261.54 $15,423.16 $-37.80
(-0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $185.40 83 $15,388.20
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:10am ET $177.81 83 $14,758.23 $14,793.19 $-629.97
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $169.07 87 $14,709.09
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:50am ET $161.99 87 $14,092.70 $14,176.79 $-616.40
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:20am ET $162.55 87 $14,141.68
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $154.00 87 $13,398.00 $13,433.11 $-743.68
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:35pm ET $159.25 84 $13,377.00
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $168.88 84 $14,186.34 $14,242.45 +$809.34
(+6.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,242.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,242.45
Total Return: +42.42%
Back to Victor Volume