Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:04:30

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.5/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 21.7/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 17.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,301
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,936.99
Current Value
$12,060.00
Period P&L
$-876.96
Max Drawdown
-28.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+8.06%
Worst Trade
-4.32%
Avg Trade Return
-1.06%
Avg Hold Time
11.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$196,501.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-876.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-876.96
Gross Return
-6.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,936.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $278.08 47 $13,069.76
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $273.19 47 $12,839.93 $12,984.91 $-229.83
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $267.26 48 $12,828.48
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $256.10 48 $12,292.80 $12,449.23 $-535.68
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:50am ET $257.46 48 $12,358.08
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $247.14 48 $11,862.48 $11,953.63 $-495.60
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $250.71 47 $11,783.37
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $270.92 47 $12,733.16 $12,903.41 +$949.79
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET $278.08 46 $12,791.68
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $273.40 46 $12,576.40 $12,688.13 $-215.28
(-1.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $271.90 46 $12,507.63
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $260.16 46 $11,967.36 $12,147.86 $-540.27
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $259.42 46 $11,933.32
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET $248.69 46 $11,439.74 $11,654.28 $-493.58
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $251.21 46 $11,555.66
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $260.03 46 $11,961.38 $12,060.00 +$405.72
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,060.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,060.00
Total Return: +20.60%
Back to Victor Volume