Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:12:36

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.8/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 32.2/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 27.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,763
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$15,905.45
Current Value
$13,891.46
Period P&L
$-2,013.99
Max Drawdown
-20.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+9.82%
Worst Trade
-11.51%
Avg Trade Return
-0.92%
Avg Hold Time
12.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$264,024.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,013.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,013.99
Gross Return
-12.66%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $15,905.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $222.54 68 $15,132.72
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $233.05 68 $15,847.40 $16,053.00 +$714.68
(+4.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $241.65 66 $15,948.90
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $231.81 66 $15,299.46 $15,403.56 $-649.44
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $229.43 67 $15,371.81
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $203.01 67 $13,602.00 $13,633.75 $-1,769.81
(-11.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $205.95 66 $13,592.70
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $210.03 66 $13,861.98 $13,903.04 +$269.28
(+2.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $204.41 68 $13,899.88
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET $210.28 68 $14,299.04 $14,302.20 +$399.16
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $248.62 57 $14,171.34
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $273.04 57 $15,563.28 $15,694.14 +$1,391.94
(+9.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.7d held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $272.67 57 $15,542.19
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $261.52 57 $14,906.92 $15,058.87 $-635.27
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
8 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $260.65 57 $14,857.05
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:20am ET $250.20 57 $14,261.40 $14,463.22 $-595.65
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $253.91 56 $14,218.96
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $243.70 56 $13,647.20 $13,891.46 $-571.76
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,891.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,891.46
Total Return: +38.91%
Back to Victor Volume