Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:13:08

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.1/35
Total Return
15.8/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 34.4/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 32.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,535
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$16,205.89
Current Value
$17,975.74
Period P&L
$1,769.82
Max Drawdown
-30.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
8 / 8
Best Trade
+8.89%
Worst Trade
-9.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.89%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$507,409.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,769.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,769.82
Gross Return
+10.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $16,205.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $456.58 35 $15,980.30
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $468.32 35 $16,391.20 $16,616.83 +$410.90
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $476.79 34 $16,210.86
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $447.43 34 $15,212.45 $15,618.42 $-998.41
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $445.52 35 $15,593.03
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $424.29 35 $14,850.15 $14,875.54 $-742.87
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET $408.87 36 $14,719.48
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $391.40 36 $14,090.40 $14,246.46 $-629.08
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $396.50 35 $13,877.50
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $414.88 35 $14,520.80 $14,889.76 +$643.30
(+4.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 1:10pm ET $419.11 35 $14,668.85
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $397.75 35 $13,921.25 $14,142.16 $-747.60
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $371.60 38 $14,120.61
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $401.90 38 $15,272.20 $15,293.75 +$1,151.59
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $431.92 35 $15,117.20
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET $410.43 35 $14,365.05 $14,541.60 $-752.15
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $383.57 37 $14,192.09
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $417.68 37 $15,454.16 $15,803.67 +$1,262.07
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $408.34 38 $15,516.92
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $441.67 38 $16,783.46 $17,070.21 +$1,266.54
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $463.68 36 $16,692.48
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:05am ET $444.62 36 $16,006.32 $16,384.05 $-686.16
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $460.00 35 $16,100.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $440.96 35 $15,433.60 $15,717.65 $-666.40
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $462.80 33 $15,272.40
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:50am ET $503.20 33 $16,605.60 $17,050.85 +$1,333.20
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
14 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $527.86 32 $16,891.52
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 10:25am ET $570.75 32 $18,264.00 $18,423.33 +$1,372.48
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
15 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $694.87 26 $18,066.62
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $752.71 26 $19,570.46 $19,927.17 +$1,503.84
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $761.54 26 $19,800.04
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $686.48 26 $17,848.61 $17,975.74 $-1,951.43
(-9.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,975.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,975.74
Total Return: +79.76%
Back to Victor Volume