Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:13:09

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.9/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 37.2/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 32.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,679
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,381.22
Current Value
$13,746.09
Period P&L
$1,364.87
Max Drawdown
-11.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+10.70%
Worst Trade
-5.15%
Avg Trade Return
+1.69%
Avg Hold Time
16.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$262,456.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,364.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,364.87
Gross Return
+11.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,381.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $147.72 81 $11,965.32
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $163.53 81 $13,245.92 $13,289.22 +$1,280.60
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $157.14 84 $13,199.76
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $168.61 84 $14,162.82 $14,252.28 +$963.06
(+7.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $169.08 84 $14,202.72
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $182.62 84 $15,340.08 $15,389.64 +$1,137.36
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $186.01 82 $15,253.23
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET $195.74 82 $16,050.68 $16,187.09 +$797.45
(+5.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $199.40 81 $16,151.40
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $191.37 81 $15,500.57 $15,536.26 $-650.83
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $187.94 82 $15,411.08
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $179.80 82 $14,743.60 $14,868.78 $-667.48
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $185.69 80 $14,855.20
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $188.52 80 $15,082.00 $15,095.58 +$226.80
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $191.05 79 $15,092.96
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $181.22 79 $14,316.38 $14,319.00 $-776.58
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
9 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.41 78 $14,227.98
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $175.07 78 $13,655.07 $13,746.09 $-572.91
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,746.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,746.09
Total Return: +37.46%
Back to Victor Volume