Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:16:52

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality 3.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-0.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,666
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,702.72
Current Value
$8,190.62
Period P&L
$-3,512.10
Max Drawdown
-42.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
4 / 15
Best Trade
+8.51%
Worst Trade
-5.34%
Avg Trade Return
-1.77%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$385,031.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,512.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,512.10
Gross Return
-30.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-30.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $11,702.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $81.43 144 $11,725.20
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $77.54 144 $11,165.76 $11,246.24 $-559.44
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:10am ET $75.82 148 $11,221.36
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:50am ET $72.51 148 $10,731.48 $10,756.36 $-489.88
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $72.39 148 $10,713.72
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $78.37 148 $11,598.76 $11,641.40 +$885.04
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $82.85 140 $11,599.00
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:20am ET $89.89 140 $12,583.90 $12,626.30 +$984.90
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $78.62 160 $12,579.20
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $75.31 160 $12,049.60 $12,096.70 $-529.60
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $74.62 162 $12,087.63
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:05am ET $71.35 162 $11,557.89 $11,566.96 $-529.74
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $72.92 158 $11,520.59
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:15am ET $69.36 158 $10,958.09 $11,004.47 $-562.50
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $69.01 159 $10,972.59
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $65.32 159 $10,386.28 $10,418.15 $-586.31
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $63.69 163 $10,381.47
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $60.91 163 $9,928.33 $9,965.01 $-453.14
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $66.93 148 $9,906.38
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:50am ET $72.63 148 $10,749.24 $10,807.87 +$842.86
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $72.73 148 $10,764.04
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $69.05 148 $10,219.40 $10,263.23 $-544.64
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $63.39 161 $10,205.79
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $60.78 161 $9,784.78 $9,842.22 $-421.01
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $68.97 142 $9,793.98
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:20am ET $65.84 142 $9,349.28 $9,397.52 $-444.70
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $68.26 137 $9,351.62
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $65.50 137 $8,973.50 $9,019.40 $-378.12
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $57.27 157 $8,991.39
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $54.87 157 $8,614.59 $8,642.60 $-376.80
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $57.25 150 $8,587.50
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $54.53 150 $8,180.25 $8,235.35 $-407.25
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
17 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $46.30 177 $8,195.10
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $44.44 177 $7,865.88 $7,906.13 $-329.22
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
18 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $46.30 177 $8,195.10
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:05am ET $44.41 177 $7,860.57 $7,571.60 $-334.53
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $41.61 181 $7,531.41
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:20am ET $45.03 181 $8,150.43 $8,190.62 +$619.02
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,190.62
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,809.38
Total Return: -18.09%
Back to Victor Volume