Compendium › Victor Volume › XOM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XOM
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

+20.49%
Year to Date Return
$13,848.25
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$11,493.19
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:23:21

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 30.7/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 24.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,346
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,493.19
Current Value
$13,848.25
Period P&L
$2,355.05
Max Drawdown
-23.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.92

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+9.52%
Worst Trade
-4.27%
Avg Trade Return
+5.02%
Avg Hold Time
9.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$105,283.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,355.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,355.05
Gross Return
+20.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $11,493.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:30pm ET $120.30 95 $11,428.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $129.93 95 $12,343.36 $12,378.61 +$914.86
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $129.07 95 $12,261.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $141.36 95 $13,428.73 $13,545.68 +$1,167.08
(+9.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:35pm ET $141.39 95 $13,431.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $151.01 95 $14,345.95 $14,460.06 +$914.37
(+6.8%) 		📅 Sim Ended
10.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $150.82 95 $14,327.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $144.38 95 $13,716.10 $13,848.25 $-611.81
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,848.25
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,848.25
Total Return: +38.48%
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