Compendium › Wally Whale › LTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 3 trades in period

-4.17%
Last 3 Months Return
$6,701.83
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$6,886.83
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:17:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,827
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,886.83
Current Value
$6,701.83
Period P&L
$-286.86
Max Drawdown
-49.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-2.33

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-0.56%
Worst Trade
-1.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.90%
Avg Hold Time
12h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$40,743.31
Estimated Fees
$101.86
Gross P&L
$-286.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-388.72
Gross Return
-4.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.64%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $6,886.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 7:35pm ET $56.45 122 $6,886.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 7:35am ET $56.05 122 $6,838.03 $6,838.03 $-83.11
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 7:20pm ET $56.79 120 $6,838.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 7:20am ET $55.97 120 $6,739.29 $6,739.29 $-132.68
(-1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 7:35am ET $55.76 121 $6,739.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $55.45 121 $6,701.83 $6,701.83 $-71.07
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,701.83
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,298.17
Total Return: -32.98%
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