Compendium › Wrecking Ball › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 7 trades in period

+4.77%
Last Month Return
$15,417.15
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$14,715.41
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 11:43:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

66
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 66.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 66.2

30-Day Momentum

31
+4.8%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 40.3 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-35 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,509
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,715.41
Current Value
$15,417.15
Period P&L
$701.74
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+4.52%
Worst Trade
-1.32%
Avg Trade Return
+0.69%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$210,839.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$701.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$701.74
Gross Return
+4.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,715.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:30am ET $310.35 47 $14,715.41 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $312.64 47 $14,823.75 $14,823.75 +$108.34
(+0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:55am ET $309.49 48 $14,823.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $316.74 48 $15,171.25 $15,171.25 +$347.50
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $311.01 49 $15,171.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $311.01 49 $15,171.25 $15,171.25 $0.00
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $311.01 49 $15,171.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $306.90 49 $14,970.76 $14,970.76 $-200.49
(-1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $318.04 47 $14,970.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $313.87 47 $14,774.47 $14,774.47 $-196.29
(-1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:05am ET $311.01 48 $14,774.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $325.06 48 $15,441.91 $15,441.91 +$667.44
(+4.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $339.58 45 $15,441.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $339.04 45 $15,417.15 $15,417.15 $-24.76
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,417.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,417.15
Total Return: +54.17%
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