Compendium › Wrecking Ball › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-07 to present • 7 trades in period

-0.23%
Last Month Return
$14,753.03
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$14,787.72
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:21:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

64
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
33.3/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 64.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 63.9

30-Day Momentum

5
-0.2%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-59 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,787.72
Current Value
$14,753.03
Period P&L
$-34.69
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+3.21%
Worst Trade
-4.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$211,485.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-34.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$-34.69
Gross Return
-0.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,787.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:35am ET $317.30 47 $14,787.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $318.06 47 $14,822.91 $14,822.91 +$35.19
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $313.98 47 $14,822.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $324.05 47 $15,298.32 $15,298.32 +$475.41
(+3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET $326.32 47 $15,298.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $331.83 47 $15,556.64 $15,556.64 +$258.32
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET $333.58 47 $15,556.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $333.54 47 $15,554.31 $15,554.31 $-2.33
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $326.62 48 $15,554.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $313.54 48 $14,931.18 $14,931.18 $-623.13
(-4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $318.17 47 $14,931.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $315.56 47 $14,808.93 $14,808.93 $-122.25
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $317.89 47 $14,808.93 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $316.68 47 $14,753.03 $14,753.03 $-55.90
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,753.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,753.03
Total Return: +47.53%
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