Compendium › Wrecking Ball › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-20 to present • 6 trades in period

+12.71%
Last Month Return
$16,593.76
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$14,722.85
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 20:53:14

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
6.2/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 68.8/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 59.3

30-Day Momentum

31
+12.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.2 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,722.85
Current Value
$16,593.76
Period P&L
$1,870.91
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+17.08%
Worst Trade
-5.85%
Avg Trade Return
+2.29%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$205,257.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,870.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,870.91
Gross Return
+12.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,722.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $216.93 68 $14,722.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $253.98 68 $17,237.40 $17,237.40 +$2,514.55
(+17.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $247.18 70 $17,237.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $264.36 70 $18,435.29 $18,435.29 +$1,197.89
(+6.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $317.13 58 $18,435.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $305.80 58 $17,776.94 $17,776.94 $-658.35
(-3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $294.71 60 $17,776.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $277.48 60 $16,737.32 $16,737.32 $-1,039.62
(-5.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $272.48 61 $16,737.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $273.23 61 $16,783.39 $16,783.39 +$46.07
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:10am ET $265.52 63 $16,783.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $262.52 63 $16,593.76 $16,593.76 $-189.63
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,593.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,593.76
Total Return: +65.94%
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