Compendium › Wrecking Ball › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 4 trades in period

+13.94%
Last Month Return
$72,440.99
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$63,577.05
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 10:33:17

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

82
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
23.2/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
10.6/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 83.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 82.2

30-Day Momentum

29
+13.9%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 43.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-53 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,495
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$63,577.05
Current Value
$72,440.99
Period P&L
$8,863.94
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+21.75%
Worst Trade
-16.02%
Avg Trade Return
+4.21%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$557,984.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,863.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,863.94
Gross Return
+13.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $63,577.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $757.41 84 $63,577.05 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $922.15 84 $77,404.54 $77,404.54 +$13,827.49
(+21.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET $1,028.82 75 $77,404.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $864.02 75 $65,005.61 $65,005.61 $-12,398.93
(-16.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $939.84 69 $65,005.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $991.42 69 $68,573.22 $68,573.22 +$3,567.61
(+5.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:05am ET $992.76 69 $68,573.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,048.76 69 $72,440.99 $72,440.99 +$3,867.77
(+5.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $72,440.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$62,440.99
Total Return: +624.41%
Back to Wrecking Ball