Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:25:55

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
7.3/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 72.8/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 68.7

30-Day Momentum

1
-1.1%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-68 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,826
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,183.07
Current Value
$15,320.23
Period P&L
$137.16
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+3.01%
Worst Trade
-1.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$305,086.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$137.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$137.16
Gross Return
+0.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,183.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:45am ET $243.24 62 $15,183.07
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $242.71 62 $15,149.68 $15,149.68 $-33.39
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:10am ET $243.88 62 $15,149.68
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $245.41 62 $15,245.04 $15,245.04 +$95.36
(+0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $245.34 62 $15,245.04
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $240.46 62 $14,941.81 $14,941.81 $-303.23
(-2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:45am ET $241.44 62 $14,941.81
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $242.74 62 $15,022.26 $15,022.26 +$80.45
(+0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET $235.83 64 $15,022.26
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $236.15 64 $15,042.64 $15,042.64 +$20.38
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $233.22 64 $15,042.64
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $240.24 64 $15,495.75 $15,495.75 +$453.11
(+3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $237.80 65 $15,495.75
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $237.96 65 $15,506.50 $15,506.50 +$10.75
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $234.67 66 $15,506.50
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $234.44 66 $15,491.30 $15,491.30 $-15.20
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:55am ET $231.95 67 $15,491.30
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $230.53 67 $15,396.79 $15,396.79 $-94.51
(-0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $228.26 67 $15,396.79
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $227.13 67 $15,320.23 $15,320.23 $-76.56
(-0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,320.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,320.23
Total Return: +53.20%
Back to Wrecking Ball