Compendium › Wrecking Ball › ABBV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ABBV
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 18 trades in period

+13.30%
Year to Date Return
$14,873.37
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$13,127.63
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:30

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
34.1/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 63.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 61.8

30-Day Momentum

12
+1.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-50 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,085
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
86 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,127.63
Current Value
$14,873.37
Period P&L
$1,745.74
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.69

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
9 / 9
Best Trade
+7.50%
Worst Trade
-6.96%
Avg Trade Return
+0.75%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$519,368.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,745.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,745.74
Gross Return
+13.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 86 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $13,127.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $226.74 58 $13,127.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $233.50 58 $13,519.02 $13,519.02 +$391.39
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 11:45am ET $225.11 60 $13,519.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $220.58 60 $13,247.26 $13,247.26 $-271.76
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:30am ET $219.09 60 $13,247.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $213.97 60 $12,937.67 $12,937.67 $-309.59
(-2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET $215.20 60 $12,937.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $220.73 60 $13,270.13 $13,270.13 +$332.46
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $221.19 60 $13,270.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $225.69 60 $13,540.01 $13,540.01 +$269.88
(+2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $207.65 65 $13,540.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $223.22 65 $14,555.62 $14,555.62 +$1,015.61
(+7.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $219.86 66 $14,555.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $231.55 66 $15,329.55 $15,329.55 +$773.93
(+5.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:40am ET $230.96 66 $15,329.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $229.50 66 $15,232.64 $15,232.64 $-96.91
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 12:35pm ET $227.98 67 $15,232.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $234.12 67 $15,642.55 $15,642.55 +$409.91
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET $230.31 68 $15,642.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $230.29 68 $15,641.53 $15,641.53 $-1.02
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $227.33 69 $15,641.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $225.40 69 $15,508.74 $15,508.74 $-132.79
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:15am ET $224.37 69 $15,508.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $208.76 69 $14,430.08 $14,430.08 $-1,078.66
(-7.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 1:30pm ET $206.41 70 $14,430.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $204.30 70 $14,282.23 $14,282.23 $-147.85
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $209.57 68 $14,282.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $214.88 68 $14,644.11 $14,644.11 +$361.88
(+2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:50am ET $212.33 69 $14,644.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $212.04 69 $14,624.45 $14,624.45 $-19.66
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $206.00 71 $14,624.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $209.03 71 $14,839.56 $14,839.56 +$215.11
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $206.57 72 $14,839.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $200.99 72 $14,438.70 $14,438.70 $-400.86
(-2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $198.48 73 $14,438.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $204.45 73 $14,873.37 $14,873.37 +$434.67
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,873.37
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,873.37
Total Return: +48.73%
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