COIN Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 54 trades in period
+11.19%
Year to Date Return
$9,211.92
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$8,284.86
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026
7
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
7.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 7.3
30-Day Momentum
9
-13.2%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2
Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,792
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,284.86
Current Value
$9,211.92
Period P&L
$927.06
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
25 /
29
Best Trade
+15.98%
Worst Trade
-8.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.32%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,006,266.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$927.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$927.06
Gross Return
+11.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.19%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $8,284.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 9:45am ET | $229.68 | 37 | $8,431.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $236.53 | 37 | $8,683.17 | $8,683.17 |
+$251.47 (+3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $255.30 | 34 | $8,683.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $250.54 | 34 | $8,521.44 | $8,521.44 |
$-161.73 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:35pm ET | $244.43 | 35 | $8,521.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $245.58 | 35 | $8,561.71 | $8,561.71 |
+$40.27 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 2:50pm ET | $240.11 | 36 | $8,561.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $243.04 | 36 | $8,666.16 | $8,666.16 |
+$104.45 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:50am ET | $258.65 | 34 | $8,666.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $239.27 | 34 | $8,016.98 | $8,016.98 |
$-649.18 (-7.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.88 | 35 | $8,016.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $226.93 | 35 | $7,845.74 | $7,845.74 |
$-171.24 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.16 | 36 | $7,845.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $213.52 | 36 | $7,678.87 | $7,678.87 |
$-166.87 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $209.93 | 37 | $7,678.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $199.25 | 37 | $7,288.39 | $7,288.39 |
$-390.48 (-5.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:25pm ET | $192.63 | 38 | $7,288.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $187.87 | 38 | $7,108.29 | $7,108.29 |
$-180.10 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $175.67 | 40 | $7,108.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $168.63 | 40 | $6,823.42 | $6,823.42 |
$-284.87 (-4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:25pm ET | $151.50 | 45 | $6,823.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $165.12 | 45 | $7,436.85 | $7,436.85 |
+$613.43 (+9.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.14 | 45 | $7,436.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $153.21 | 45 | $6,941.63 | $6,941.63 |
$-495.22 (-6.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 3:45pm ET | $141.64 | 49 | $6,941.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $164.28 | 49 | $8,051.19 | $8,051.19 |
+$1,109.56 (+16.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 2:55pm ET | $167.57 | 48 | $8,051.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $164.07 | 48 | $7,883.22 | $7,883.22 |
$-167.97 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 11:55am ET | $171.36 | 46 | $7,883.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $160.28 | 46 | $7,373.45 | $7,373.45 |
$-509.77 (-6.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 2:55pm ET | $159.67 | 46 | $7,373.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $183.99 | 46 | $8,496.53 | $8,496.53 |
+$1,123.08 (+15.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.71 | 48 | $8,496.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $185.15 | 48 | $8,953.25 | $8,953.25 |
+$456.72 (+5.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:10pm ET | $182.92 | 49 | $8,953.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $208.87 | 49 | $10,223.41 | $10,223.41 |
+$1,270.16 (+14.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 1:25pm ET | $201.85 | 51 | $10,223.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $197.07 | 51 | $9,981.56 | $9,981.56 |
$-241.85 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $193.35 | 52 | $9,981.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $197.05 | 52 | $10,172.57 | $10,172.57 |
+$191.01 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $195.59 | 52 | $10,172.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $193.12 | 52 | $10,044.11 | $10,044.11 |
$-128.46 (-1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $198.01 | 51 | $10,044.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $203.32 | 51 | $10,313.20 | $10,313.20 |
+$269.09 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $206.02 | 50 | $10,313.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $203.34 | 50 | $10,179.04 | $10,179.04 |
$-134.16 (-1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $195.24 | 52 | $10,179.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $196.70 | 52 | $10,254.79 | $10,254.79 |
+$75.75 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:45am ET | $198.86 | 52 | $10,254.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $181.47 | 52 | $9,358.02 | $9,358.02 |
$-896.77 (-8.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $185.43 | 50 | $9,358.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $173.40 | 50 | $8,750.91 | $8,750.91 |
$-607.11 (-6.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.16 | 53 | $8,750.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $160.69 | 53 | $8,462.83 | $8,462.83 |
$-288.08 (-3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $164.98 | 51 | $8,462.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $173.52 | 51 | $8,900.90 | $8,900.90 |
+$438.07 (+5.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.01 | 54 | $8,900.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $175.27 | 54 | $9,397.11 | $9,397.11 |
+$496.21 (+5.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $172.71 | 54 | $9,397.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $174.92 | 54 | $9,517.36 | $9,517.36 |
+$120.25 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $172.01 | 55 | $9,517.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $167.92 | 55 | $9,291.06 | $9,291.06 |
$-226.30 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.85 | 56 | $9,291.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $184.29 | 56 | $10,386.40 | $10,386.40 |
+$1,095.34 (+11.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:10am ET | $190.11 | 55 | $10,386.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $199.57 | 55 | $10,903.23 | $10,903.23 |
+$516.83 (+5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $212.34 | 51 | $10,903.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $211.38 | 51 | $10,854.45 | $10,854.45 |
$-48.78 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $207.38 | 52 | $10,854.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $205.49 | 52 | $10,755.42 | $10,755.42 |
$-99.03 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $203.13 | 53 | $10,755.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $199.62 | 53 | $10,569.64 | $10,569.64 |
$-185.78 (-1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.22 | 53 | $10,569.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $194.41 | 53 | $10,314.50 | $10,314.50 |
$-255.14 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.15 | 55 | $10,314.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $187.64 | 55 | $10,341.73 | $10,341.73 |
+$27.23 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $191.94 | 54 | $10,341.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $202.88 | 54 | $10,931.45 | $10,931.45 |
+$589.72 (+5.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $200.04 | 55 | $10,931.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $197.53 | 55 | $10,794.29 | $10,794.29 |
$-137.16 (-1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $194.78 | 55 | $10,794.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $199.45 | 55 | $11,053.09 | $11,053.09 |
+$258.80 (+2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $213.60 | 52 | $11,053.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $207.49 | 52 | $10,736.67 | $10,736.67 |
$-316.42 (-2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.88 | 53 | $10,736.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $212.16 | 53 | $11,283.66 | $11,283.66 |
+$546.99 (+5.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $203.30 | 56 | $11,283.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $189.30 | 56 | $10,506.62 | $10,506.62 |
$-777.04 (-6.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $191.29 | 55 | $10,506.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $193.24 | 55 | $10,614.00 | $10,614.00 |
+$107.38 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $192.10 | 55 | $10,614.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $179.76 | 55 | $9,931.91 | $9,931.91 |
$-682.09 (-6.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.35 | 56 | $9,931.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $182.27 | 56 | $10,150.42 | $10,150.42 |
+$218.51 (+2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $180.15 | 56 | $10,150.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $181.85 | 56 | $10,246.49 | $10,246.49 |
+$96.07 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.94 | 58 | $10,246.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $163.21 | 58 | $9,451.39 | $9,451.39 |
$-795.10 (-7.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.38 | 58 | $9,451.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $152.50 | 58 | $8,876.32 | $8,876.32 |
$-575.07 (-6.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $162.28 | 55 | $8,876.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $155.56 | 55 | $8,508.92 | $8,508.92 |
$-367.40 (-4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $158.51 | 54 | $8,508.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $160.53 | 54 | $8,617.57 | $8,617.57 |
+$108.65 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $157.00 | 55 | $8,617.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $169.54 | 55 | $9,306.01 | $9,306.01 |
+$688.44 (+8.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $167.64 | 56 | $9,306.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $165.95 | 56 | $9,211.92 | $9,211.92 |
$-94.09 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,211.92
Net Profit/Loss:
$-788.08
Total Return:
-7.88%