Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score PRO Scored May 5, 2026

76
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
9.9/15
Profit Factor
8.0/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 76.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 75.9

30-Day Momentum

52
+12.2%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 78.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,436
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$17,010.38
Current Value
$20,519.23
Period P&L
$3,508.85
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
15 / 4
Best Trade
+5.18%
Worst Trade
-2.61%
Avg Trade Return
+1.01%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$691,000.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,508.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,508.85
Gross Return
+20.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $17,010.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET $144.06 118 $17,010.38
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $146.63 118 $17,313.84 $17,313.84 +$303.46
(+1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $145.24 119 $17,313.84
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $146.79 119 $17,498.61 $17,498.61 +$184.77
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $144.66 121 $17,498.61
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $145.61 121 $17,613.53 $17,613.53 +$114.92
(+0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET $142.61 124 $17,613.53
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $145.07 124 $17,917.36 $17,917.36 +$303.83
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $147.37 122 $17,917.36
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $145.28 122 $17,663.31 $17,663.31 $-254.05
(-1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET $139.44 127 $17,663.31
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $141.06 127 $17,868.52 $17,868.52 +$205.21
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:30am ET $141.98 126 $17,868.52
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.41 126 $17,545.08 $17,545.08 $-323.44
(-1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $138.45 127 $17,545.08
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $140.13 127 $17,757.98 $17,757.98 +$212.90
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:05am ET $141.58 125 $17,757.98
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.60 125 $17,510.26 $17,510.26 $-247.72
(-1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $136.24 129 $17,510.26
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $140.03 129 $17,997.19 $17,997.19 +$486.93
(+2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $137.23 131 $17,997.19
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.62 131 $18,309.97 $18,309.97 +$312.78
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $138.25 132 $18,309.97
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $138.70 132 $18,368.91 $18,368.91 +$58.94
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $135.49 136 $18,368.91
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $137.20 136 $18,600.06 $18,600.06 +$231.15
(+1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $136.05 137 $18,600.06
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $132.50 137 $18,114.72 $18,114.72 $-485.34
(-2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $131.62 138 $18,114.72
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $132.91 138 $18,292.60 $18,292.60 +$177.88
(+1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $134.41 136 $18,292.60
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $136.65 136 $18,596.77 $18,596.77 +$304.17
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET $135.03 138 $18,596.77
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $142.02 138 $19,560.14 $19,560.14 +$963.37
(+5.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $155.39 126 $19,560.14
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $160.52 126 $20,206.52 $20,206.52 +$646.38
(+3.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $157.02 129 $20,206.52
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $159.45 129 $20,519.23 $20,519.23 +$312.71
(+1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,519.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,519.23
Total Return: +105.19%
Back to Wrecking Ball