Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 01:15:13

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.0/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 22.8/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 16.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,095
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
263 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,416.36
Current Value
$11,626.99
Period P&L
$210.64
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+11.07%
Worst Trade
-8.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.51%
Avg Hold Time
7.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$189,890.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$210.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$210.64
Gross Return
+1.85%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 263 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $11,416.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 12:20pm ET $195.33 58 $11,329.14
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 9:30am ET $178.94 58 $10,378.52 $10,465.73 $-950.62
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 10:45am ET $173.50 60 $10,410.00
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 10:45am ET $180.04 60 $10,802.40 $10,858.13 +$392.40
(+3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $175.30 61 $10,693.30
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:25am ET $166.51 61 $10,156.81 $10,321.64 $-536.49
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $148.51 69 $10,246.85
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $140.41 69 $9,688.63 $9,763.43 $-558.21
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $156.87 62 $9,725.63
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.33 62 $9,134.46 $9,172.26 $-591.17
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $157.54 58 $9,137.03
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $173.43 58 $10,058.94 $10,094.17 +$921.91
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $172.03 58 $9,977.74
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $191.08 58 $11,082.64 $11,199.07 +$1,104.90
(+11.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
8 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $245.42 45 $11,043.99
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:55am ET $272.59 45 $12,266.55 $12,421.63 +$1,222.56
(+11.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $279.01 44 $12,276.44
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $260.95 44 $11,481.80 $11,626.99 $-794.64
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,626.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,626.99
Total Return: +16.27%
Back to Yolanda YOLO