Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 23:36:51

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
5.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 9.7/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 9.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,820.12
Current Value
$10,342.73
Period P&L
$522.59
Max Drawdown
-59.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+10.72%
Worst Trade
-6.29%
Avg Trade Return
+1.03%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$239,875.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$522.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$522.59
Gross Return
+5.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $9,820.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $8.64 1,097 $9,478.08
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $8.20 1,097 $9,000.67 $9,002.65 $-477.42
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET $8.90 1,011 $8,997.90
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $8.34 1,011 $8,431.74 $8,436.49 $-566.16
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $7.68 1,098 $8,432.53
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $8.45 1,098 $9,283.59 $9,287.55 +$851.06
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $8.49 1,093 $9,279.57
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $9.40 1,093 $10,274.20 $10,282.18 +$994.63
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $11.41 900 $10,273.50
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 900 $9,693.00 $9,701.68 $-580.50
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET $10.39 933 $9,693.78
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $11.47 933 $10,701.51 $10,709.41 +$1,007.73
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
7 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $12.83 834 $10,700.22
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:30am ET $12.07 834 $10,066.30 $10,075.49 $-633.92
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
8 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $12.47 807 $10,063.29
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $11.85 807 $9,558.92 $9,571.12 $-504.38
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:15am ET $11.62 823 $9,563.51
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:45am ET $12.79 823 $10,526.17 $10,533.78 +$962.66
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
10 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $13.65 771 $10,528.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:15am ET $15.05 771 $11,599.70 $11,605.47 +$1,071.69
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:45am ET $13.35 868 $11,592.14
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $12.55 868 $10,893.40 $10,906.73 $-698.74
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $13.63 800 $10,904.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $12.93 800 $10,340.00 $10,342.73 $-564.00
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,342.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$342.73
Total Return: +3.43%
Back to Yolanda YOLO