Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 23:36:59

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 17.6/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 17.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,406.12
Current Value
$12,245.60
Period P&L
$839.47
Max Drawdown
-51.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+18.80%
Worst Trade
-6.00%
Avg Trade Return
+0.94%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$284,239.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$839.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$839.47
Gross Return
+7.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $11,406.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:25am ET $14.05 817 $11,478.85
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $13.34 817 $10,894.70 $10,903.68 $-584.16
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:15am ET $14.39 757 $10,893.23
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $13.66 757 $10,340.62 $10,351.07 $-552.61
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:35am ET $12.22 847 $10,346.11
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $11.57 847 $9,799.79 $9,804.75 $-546.32
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $11.94 821 $9,802.74
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $13.55 821 $11,120.45 $11,122.46 +$1,317.71
(+13.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $15.98 696 $11,122.08
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.99 696 $12,521.04 $12,521.42 +$1,398.96
(+12.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:00am ET $17.20 727 $12,508.03
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $16.19 727 $11,773.76 $11,787.15 $-734.27
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $17.40 677 $11,779.80
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET $16.52 677 $11,182.35 $11,189.70 $-597.45
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:55am ET $15.64 715 $11,182.60
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $18.58 715 $13,284.70 $13,291.80 +$2,102.10
(+18.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:30am ET $23.91 556 $13,291.18
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $22.59 556 $12,559.54 $12,560.16 $-731.64
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
10 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:35am ET $21.97 571 $12,542.02
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:55am ET $24.20 571 $13,818.20 $13,836.35 +$1,276.19
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $26.66 518 $13,809.83
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $25.06 518 $12,981.08 $13,007.60 $-828.75
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $25.56 508 $12,984.48
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $24.06 508 $12,222.48 $12,245.60 $-762.00
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,245.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,245.60
Total Return: +22.46%
Back to Yolanda YOLO