Compendium › Yolanda YOLO › RIVN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIVN
Alpaca Tradeable

Yolanda YOLO's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-20.03%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,665.03
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$13,335.97
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
7.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 12.1/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 9.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,859
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,335.97
Current Value
$10,665.03
Period P&L
$-2,670.97
Max Drawdown
-22.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-22.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-5.07%
Worst Trade
-5.70%
Avg Trade Return
-5.44%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$95,736.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,670.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,670.97
Gross Return
-20.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $13,335.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.37 767 $13,322.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:50am ET $16.44 767 $12,609.48 $12,622.69 $-713.31
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:15am ET $15.48 815 $12,612.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:55am ET $14.69 815 $11,972.35 $11,982.91 $-639.78
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:20am ET $16.14 742 $11,975.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:45am ET $15.22 742 $11,293.17 $11,300.20 $-682.71
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
4 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $15.47 730 $11,293.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $14.60 730 $10,657.93 $10,665.03 $-635.17
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,665.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$665.03
Total Return: +6.65%
Back to Yolanda YOLO