Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 10:43:24

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 3.2

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,891
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,100.91
Current Value
$8,532.01
Period P&L
$1,431.09
Max Drawdown
-46.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+24.45%
Worst Trade
-13.79%
Avg Trade Return
+2.27%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$171,767.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,431.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,431.09
Gross Return
+20.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $7,100.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET $245.51 28 $6,874.28
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $211.66 28 $5,926.48 $6,153.10 $-947.80
(-13.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $192.30 31 $5,961.30
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $211.98 31 $6,571.38 $6,763.18 +$610.08
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $196.32 34 $6,674.88
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $216.16 34 $7,349.55 $7,437.85 +$674.67
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:55am ET $188.34 39 $7,345.26
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $207.57 39 $8,095.42 $8,188.02 +$750.17
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:50am ET $208.94 39 $8,148.66
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $198.21 39 $7,730.19 $7,769.55 $-418.47
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $330.00 23 $7,590.00
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $311.88 23 $7,173.13 $7,352.68 $-416.88
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $342.96 21 $7,202.16
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $426.80 21 $8,962.80 $9,113.32 +$1,760.64
(+24.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:40am ET $427.28 21 $8,972.88
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:00am ET $405.68 21 $8,519.25 $8,659.69 $-453.63
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $489.42 17 $8,320.22
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $541.50 17 $9,205.50 $9,544.97 +$885.28
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $512.48 18 $9,224.57
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $485.36 18 $8,736.48 $9,056.88 $-488.09
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $466.00 19 $8,854.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $438.38 19 $8,329.13 $8,532.01 $-524.88
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,532.01
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,467.99
Total Return: -14.68%
Back to Yolanda YOLO