Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 01:07:37

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
25.3 oversold
20d Trend
-38.3%
5d Trend
-38.9%
EMA20 Dist
-40.8%
ATR%
15.6%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

2
-12.7%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
49,274
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
172 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,972.09
Current Value
$6,750.09
Period P&L
$-1,467.06
Max Drawdown
-71.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+10.56%
Worst Trade
-7.51%
Avg Trade Return
-0.78%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$179,493.84
Estimated Fees
$448.73
Gross P&L
$-1,467.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,915.79
Gross Return
-18.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-24.03%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 172 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $7,972.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 6:55pm ET $12.98 614 $7,972.06
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 8:50am ET $12.33 614 $7,572.84 $7,533.98 $-438.08
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET $10.95 688 $7,533.98
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 9:05am ET $10.40 688 $7,155.56 $7,118.84 $-415.14
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 9:40am ET $10.01 711 $7,118.84
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:20am ET $9.50 711 $6,752.66 $6,717.98 $-400.86
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $8.88 757 $6,717.98
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $8.37 757 $6,332.15 $6,299.52 $-418.46
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $8.42 748 $6,299.52
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $7.79 748 $5,826.71 $5,796.40 $-503.13
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $8.07 718 $5,796.40
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $8.89 718 $6,385.78 $6,355.33 +$558.93
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:25pm ET $8.42 755 $6,355.33
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 7:50am ET $9.27 755 $6,996.90 $6,996.90 +$608.19
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 7:30pm ET $8.81 794 $6,996.90
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $9.74 794 $7,735.51 $7,735.51 +$701.77
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $7.54 1,026 $7,735.51
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $7.12 1,026 $7,308.72 $7,308.72 $-464.40
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:25am ET $7.07 1,034 $7,308.72
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $6.63 1,034 $6,854.90 $6,854.90 $-489.23
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $6.64 1,032 $6,854.90
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:30am ET $6.26 1,032 $6,457.62 $6,457.62 $-430.56
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 12:35am ET $6.27 1,030 $6,457.62
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 7:20am ET $6.90 1,030 $7,108.32 $7,108.32 +$616.79
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.3d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:40am ET $6.31 1,127 $7,108.32
🔴 SELL Jun 19, 2026 3:35am ET $5.99 1,127 $6,750.09 $6,750.09 $-392.88
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,750.09
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,249.91
Total Return: -32.50%
Back to Yolanda YOLO