Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:30:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
7.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 12.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 12.1

30-Day Momentum

36
+15.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 58.3 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,408
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,990.39
Current Value
$10,709.41
Period P&L
$1,719.00
Max Drawdown
-59.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
7 / 8
Best Trade
+12.21%
Worst Trade
-6.29%
Avg Trade Return
+1.48%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$275,915.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,719.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,719.00
Gross Return
+19.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $8,990.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET $9.93 905 $8,986.56
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $10.99 905 $9,945.95 $9,949.80 +$959.39
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $10.40 957 $9,948.02
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET $9.85 957 $9,424.06 $9,425.84 $-523.96
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET $9.07 1,038 $9,419.85
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $8.57 1,038 $8,895.66 $8,901.65 $-524.19
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $7.78 1,143 $8,898.25
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $7.30 1,143 $8,345.04 $8,348.44 $-553.21
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $7.82 1,066 $8,341.45
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $7.99 1,066 $8,522.67 $8,529.66 +$181.22
(+2.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $7.54 1,131 $8,527.74
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $8.39 1,131 $9,489.09 $9,491.01 +$961.35
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:10am ET $9.18 1,033 $9,482.94
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $8.60 1,033 $8,888.96 $8,897.03 $-593.98
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $9.03 985 $8,894.55
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $8.57 985 $8,446.37 $8,448.86 $-448.17
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:35am ET $8.27 1,021 $8,443.67
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.28 1,021 $9,474.88 $9,480.07 +$1,031.21
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $8.64 1,097 $9,478.08
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $8.20 1,097 $9,000.67 $9,002.65 $-477.42
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET $8.90 1,011 $8,997.90
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $8.34 1,011 $8,431.74 $8,436.49 $-566.16
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $7.68 1,098 $8,432.53
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $8.45 1,098 $9,283.59 $9,287.55 +$851.06
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $8.49 1,093 $9,279.57
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $9.40 1,093 $10,274.20 $10,282.18 +$994.63
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $11.41 900 $10,273.50
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 900 $9,693.00 $9,701.68 $-580.50
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET $10.39 933 $9,693.78
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $11.47 933 $10,701.51 $10,709.41 +$1,007.73
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,709.41
Net Profit/Loss: +$709.41
Total Return: +7.09%
Back to Yolanda YOLO