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Professor Mean
8

Professor Mean

The Mathematician

📐 Swing Trader 📅 146 years old (Born 1880)

"Price is a drunk stumbling home. It may wander, but it always returns to the mean."

Impossibly old—a walking artifact from the Victorian era. Bow tie, antique spectacles, chalk dust on his academic robes. His hands shake slightly, but his mind is sharp.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years
Jan 14, 2026 Feb 14, 2026 (31 days)
🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114 ⚠️ Crypto has 0.25% trading fees - results reflect fee impact

📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Professor Mean's performance over the last month across 12 crypto symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$3,162
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $5,168 ($-2,006)
-38.82%
Last Month ROI
22.6%
Win Rate
1,474
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-38.8%
1 Month
-55.0%
3 Months
-60.4%
6 Months
-44.2%
YTD
-60.7%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Month)

Combined P&L across all 12 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last Month)

Stock Volume
$0
0 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$3,252,169
1,474 trades
Crypto Fees
$8,130
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Trade 2 standard deviation extremes back to mean

When price moves 2 standard deviations from its 20-day average, the move is statistically extreme. Professor Mean profits from the inevitable return to normalcy.

🎯 Best Suited For

Range-bound stocks and ETFs

"Everything reverts to the mean. Everything."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets overreact. Good news pushes prices above fair value; bad news pushes them below. Extremes are by definition unsustainable.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Z-Score ≤ -2.0 (price is 2+ std devs below mean)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Rules

• MEAN_REVERSION: Z-Score ≥ 0 (price returned to mean)
• STOP_LOSS: Z-Score ≤ -3.0 OR price ≤ entry × 0.92 (-8%)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 10 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MEAN_PERIOD: 20
ENTRY_STD_DEVS: 2
EXIT_AT_MEAN: 1
STOP_LOSS_STD_DEVS: 3
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 10

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Sir Francis Galton's regression to the mean

Sir Francis Galton was a polymath who, in the 1880s, discovered "regression toward mediocrity" while studying hereditary traits. The principle was universal: extreme measurements tend to be followed by less extreme ones.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Month: Jan 14, 2026 Feb 14, 2026 (31 days)
Rank Symbol Return 1M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund
1 PEPEUSD +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h -
2 SHIBUSD +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h -
3 DOTUSD 🚫 PROBATION -5.07% $10,096 $9,584 36 36% $1,821 -$512 -99.1% 1.0h 5 Feb 6, 2026
22d left
4 DOGEUSD -8.63% $4,273 $3,905 13 54% $6,953 -$369 -150.9% 4.0h 1 Jul 30, 2025
5 AVAXUSD 🚫 PROBATION -43.61% $10,100 $5,695 119 26% $4,329 -$4,404 -99.0% 1.1h 5 Jan 25, 2026
10d left
6 ETHUSD 🚫 PROBATION -48.11% $10,100 $5,241 150 26% $5,306 -$4,859 -99.0% 1.0h 5 Jan 22, 2026
7d left
7 BTCUSD -58.40% $1,228 $511 204 18% $10,316 -$717 -99.0% 1.0h 4 Oct 30, 2025
8 XRPUSD -58.92% $409 $168 180 22% $11,772 -$241 -99.0% 1.2h 3 Sep 14, 2025
9 LTCUSD -59.44% $887 $360 189 23% $12,747 -$527 -99.1% 1.0h 4 Oct 10, 2025
10 SOLUSD -59.58% $781 $316 192 19% $8,456 -$465 -99.1% 1.0h 4 Oct 27, 2025
11 LINKUSD -60.65% $2,575 $1,013 186 21% $9,508 -$1,562 -99.0% 1.0h 4 Nov 25, 2025
12 UNIUSD -63.39% $1,571 $575 205 27% $8,736 -$996 -99.1% 1.0h 4 Nov 11, 2025

👤 Personality

Speaks in equations. Finds human behavior predictable and slightly disappointing. Gets genuinely excited about standard deviations.