Rebel Contraire

The Rebel

⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)

"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."

Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years

Jan 1, 2026 → Feb 14, 2026 (44 days)

🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114 ⚠️ Crypto has 0.25% trading fees - results reflect fee impact

📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the year to date across 12 crypto symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$2,102

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $3,801 ($-1,699)

-44.70%

Year to Date ROI

54.9%

Win Rate

960

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Year to Date)

Combined P&L across all 12 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Year to Date)

Stock Volume

0 trades

Stock Fees

✓ Commission FREE

Crypto Volume

$2,937,362

960 trades

Crypto Fees

$7,343

0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal

After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.

🎯 Best Suited For

Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades

"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)                    

→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
                        3
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        2%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -3%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        5
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"

Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Year to Date: Jan 1, 2026 → Feb 14, 2026 (44 days)

Rank	Symbol	Return	YTD Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	BTCUSD ₿	-28.84%	$905	$644	52	56%	$15,502	-$261	-95.2%	1.1d	✓	-
2	SHIBUSD ₿	-30.44%	$10,099	$7,025	69	58%	$2,916	-$3,074	-99.3%	8.9h	2	Jan 12, 2026
3	LTCUSD ₿	-40.05%	$742	$445	67	55%	$10,007	-$297	-99.1%	11.8h	1	Mar 3, 2025
4	DOGEUSD ₿	-41.74%	$7,536	$4,390	88	58%	$4,499	-$3,145	-99.1%	8.2h	2	Dec 7, 2025
5	PEPEUSD ₿	-42.59%	$2,565	$1,473	121	60%	$8,171	-$1,093	-99.6%	5.0h	2	Sep 22, 2025
6	AVAXUSD ₿	-43.43%	$2,232	$1,263	74	55%	$5,066	-$969	-99.2%	8.7h	2	Oct 10, 2025
7	XRPUSD ₿	-45.59%	$2,278	$1,240	86	56%	$5,836	-$1,039	-99.0%	11.7h	1	Aug 14, 2025
8	LINKUSD ₿	-46.05%	$7,265	$3,920	80	55%	$4,852	-$3,346	-99.1%	9.0h	2	Nov 21, 2025
9	DOTUSD ₿	-49.95%	$3,659	$1,831	92	55%	$4,291	-$1,828	-99.0%	9.9h	2	Nov 12, 2025
10	ETHUSD ₿	-51.35%	$6,050	$2,943	72	50%	$4,303	-$3,107	-99.2%	15.1h	1	Nov 13, 2025
11	SOLUSD ₿	-55.34%	$367	$164	70	50%	$10,413	-$203	-99.1%	9.6h	1	Feb 18, 2025
12	UNIUSD ₿	-61.02%	$1,913	$746	89	51%	$7,173	-$1,167	-99.1%	8.0h	2	Sep 1, 2025

👤 Personality

Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.