Compendium › Bruno Breakout › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-06-20 to present • 7 trades in period

+18.79%
Last Year Return
$8,415.70
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$7,084.41
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:01:37

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Apr 15, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 56%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 0.56 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (56%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,328
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-20
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$7,084.41
Current Value
$8,415.70
Period P&L
$1,331.29
Max Drawdown
-55.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+15.76%
Worst Trade
-5.71%
Avg Trade Return
+3.51%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$118,214.82
Estimated Fees
$295.54
Gross P&L
$1,331.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,035.75
Gross Return
+18.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.62%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $7,084.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 4:35pm ET $0.1826 38,808 $7,084.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 1:25pm ET $0.2110 38,808 $8,188.50 $8,150.32 +$1,065.91
(+15.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 5:20pm ET $0.2178 37,414 $8,150.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 9:35am ET $0.2510 37,414 $9,389.48 $9,345.63 +$1,195.31
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2025 12:00pm ET $0.2620 35,674 $9,345.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2025 9:15am ET $0.2470 35,674 $8,811.88 $8,766.48 $-579.15
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $0.2197 39,896 $8,766.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 4:35pm ET $0.2080 39,896 $8,297.17 $8,254.51 $-511.97
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 12, 2025 10:45am ET $0.1958 42,158 $8,254.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 4:30pm ET $0.1849 42,158 $7,796.25 $7,756.13 $-498.38
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 4:45am ET $0.1345 57,679 $7,756.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:20am ET $0.1557 57,679 $8,978.35 $8,936.52 +$1,180.39
(+15.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 5:05pm ET $0.1481 60,345 $8,936.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET $0.1402 60,345 $8,459.19 $8,415.70 $-520.82
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,415.70
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,584.30
Total Return: -15.84%
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