Compendium › Bruno Breakout › PEPEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PEPEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 8 trades in period

+13.37%
Last Year Return
$9,172.64
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$8,091.06
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:54:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.2 neutral
20d Trend
-19.0%
5d Trend
-17.2%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.6%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Apr 14, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 3.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,286
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,091.06
Current Value
$9,172.64
Period P&L
$1,081.58
Max Drawdown
-57.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+17.27%
Worst Trade
-6.03%
Avg Trade Return
+2.61%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$139,080.01
Estimated Fees
$347.70
Gross P&L
$1,081.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$733.88
Gross Return
+13.37%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.07%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $8,091.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 4:50pm ET $0.00001139 710,365,233 $8,091.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 11:55pm ET $0.00001071 710,365,233 $7,608.01 $7,568.76 $-522.30
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 4:20am ET $0.00001264 598,794,304 $7,568.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2025 10:15pm ET $0.00001466 598,794,304 $8,778.32 $8,737.46 +$1,168.70
(+16.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 8:30am ET $0.00001311 666,472,921 $8,737.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 5:55pm ET $0.00001232 666,472,921 $8,210.95 $8,168.58 $-568.88
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 3:50pm ET $0.00001097 744,628,988 $8,168.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 10:35pm ET $0.00001266 744,628,988 $9,427.00 $9,383.01 +$1,214.43
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 8:30am ET $0.00001153 813,790,980 $9,383.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 5:25pm ET $0.00001093 813,790,980 $8,894.74 $8,849.04 $-533.97
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.4d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $0.00001034 855,806,576 $8,849.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 4:10pm ET $0.00000977 855,806,576 $8,361.23 $8,318.20 $-530.84
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 7:30am ET $0.00000556 1,496,079,137 $8,318.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2026 10:10pm ET $0.00000652 1,496,079,137 $9,754.44 $9,709.25 +$1,391.05
(+17.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 5:05pm ET $0.00000635 1,529,015,748 $9,709.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:35pm ET $0.00000603 1,529,015,748 $9,219.96 $9,172.64 $-536.61
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,172.64
Net Profit/Loss: $-827.36
Total Return: -8.27%
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