Compendium › Marcus Reversal › AMZN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMZN
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+24.29%
Last Month Return
$19,551.28
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$15,730.72
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:02:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

46
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.0/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
3.1/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 47.3/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 45.7

30-Day Momentum

60
+25.1%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.0 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+14 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,735
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,730.72
Current Value
$19,551.28
Period P&L
$3,820.54
Max Drawdown
-18.5%
Sharpe Ratio
7.04

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
4 / 0
Best Trade
+7.03%
Worst Trade
+5.02%
Avg Trade Return
+5.80%
Avg Hold Time
6.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$140,528.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,820.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,820.54
Gross Return
+24.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $15,730.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $209.28 74 $15,486.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.99 74 $16,575.26 $16,716.42 +$1,088.54
(+7.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $231.21 72 $16,647.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $245.23 72 $17,656.57 $17,725.87 +$1,009.45
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $247.33 71 $17,560.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $259.88 71 $18,451.48 $18,616.92 +$891.05
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET $262.09 71 $18,608.39 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:45am ET $275.25 71 $19,542.75 $19,551.28 +$934.36
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,551.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,551.28
Total Return: +95.51%
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