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Marcus Reversal
1

Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Apr 29, 2026 May 29, 2026 (30d)

📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last month across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$14,447
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $13,826 (+$621)
+4.49%
Last Month ROI
45.1%
Win Rate
451
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+4.5%
1 Month
+5.7%
3 Months
+9.0%
6 Months
+8.9%
YTD
+23.7%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Month)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))
RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)
Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
📁 calculateRSI() @ lines 404-448

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size
2 Upper wick ≤ body size
3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE
→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

RSI_PERIOD: 14
RSI_OVERSOLD: 30
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -10%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 30

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Month: Apr 29, 2026 May 29, 2026 (30 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 SOXL 🔥 PRO 71 90 +70.79% $43,848 $74,888 11 91% - +$31,040 -36.3% 1.6d -
2 RIOT 5 88🔥 +50.18% $5,430 $8,155 11 73% - +$2,725 -51.3% 1.3d -
3 SNOW 33 75🔥 +49.06% $13,531 $20,169 9 56% - +$6,638 -43.4% 4.9d -
4 CRWD 62 74 +39.15% $24,250 $33,745 8 88% - +$9,494 -24.8% 4.4d -
5 ARM 39 60🔥 +35.17% $17,037 $23,029 10 60% - +$5,992 -31.3% 2.7d -
6 AMD 37 79🔥 +34.07% $16,974 $22,757 9 67% - +$5,783 -43.0% 3.3d -
7 CSCO 72 +26.62% $23,771 $30,099 2 100% - +$6,328 -9.1% 15.2d -
8 TQQQ 11 47🔥 +23.35% $8,713 $10,748 9 67% - +$2,035 -40.9% 3.1d -
9 LCID 22 55🔥 +22.31% $11,139 $13,624 10 60% - +$2,485 -38.4% 1.9d -
10 SMCI 4 43🔥 +22.03% $1,583 $1,932 8 50% - +$349 -88.9% 1.9d -
11 MU 69 52 +21.79% $40,740 $49,618 9 67% - +$8,877 -27.8% 3.5d -
12 INTC 17 34 +18.30% $10,703 $12,662 8 63% - +$1,959 -58.2% 3.6d -
13 MARA 5 37🔥 +18.04% $3,737 $4,411 11 55% - +$674 -58.2% 1.3d -
14 ORCL 19 55🔥 +17.72% $10,752 $12,657 8 63% - +$1,905 -51.2% 5.2d -
15 PANW 34 45 +17.66% $15,098 $17,764 5 80% - +$2,666 -29.0% 7.1d -
16 NET 60 49 +17.58% $29,121 $34,240 8 63% - +$5,119 -33.4% 4.1d -
17 AAPL 41 52 +16.26% $16,074 $18,687 3 100% - +$2,614 -21.5% 10.1d -
18 TSLA 31 47 +15.78% $14,500 $16,788 6 67% - +$2,288 -34.1% 2.9d -
19 XLK 36 52 +12.98% $15,058 $17,013 4 75% - +$1,955 -25.5% 11.5d -
20 ARKK 25 35 +12.66% $12,161 $13,701 5 60% - +$1,540 -26.4% 5.4d -
21 GOOGL 59 +12.53% $25,115 $28,262 2 100% - +$3,147 -25.2% 7.9d -
22 GILD 26 30 +12.52% $12,926 $14,544 4 75% - +$1,618 -20.9% 10.3d -
23 LLY 20 38 +12.41% $10,971 $12,333 5 60% - +$1,362 -36.7% 6.7d -
24 MRK 4 31🔥 +11.94% $7,420 $8,306 3 67% - +$886 -45.0% 9.8d -
25 AVGO 29 26 +11.83% $14,914 $16,678 4 75% - +$1,764 -27.0% 3.7d -
26 PLTR 67 25🧊 +10.92% $50,379 $55,881 6 50% - +$5,501 -28.0% 2.8d -
27 QQQ 33 +10.46% $14,199 $15,684 2 100% - +$1,485 -29.6% 15.7d -
28 IBM 39 20 +10.27% $16,413 $18,099 5 60% - +$1,686 -17.7% 10.0d -
29 SOFI 27 6🧊 +9.72% $14,041 $15,406 6 50% - +$1,365 -35.6% 2.7d -
30 ABBV 22 34 +8.15% $11,437 $12,369 3 67% - +$932 -17.7% 11.9d -
31 IWM 27 31 +7.21% $12,983 $13,919 3 67% - +$936 -23.6% 13.7d -
32 MS 22 +7.16% $11,857 $12,706 2 100% - +$849 -29.2% 9.0d -
33 ADBE 4 8 +6.65% $5,755 $6,138 6 50% - +$383 -42.0% 8.2d -
34 GS 53 +6.35% $20,963 $22,294 3 67% - +$1,331 -15.7% 9.6d -
35 HOOD 5 5 +6.09% $8,134 $8,630 7 43% - +$495 -45.6% 2.2d -
36 VTI 42 +5.22% $14,539 $15,298 1 100% - +$759 -16.1% 20.8d -
37 SPY 40 +4.89% $14,610 $15,325 1 100% - +$714 -12.7% 18.7d -
38 VOO 37 +4.83% $14,246 $14,934 1 100% - +$688 -15.4% 18.9d -
39 RIVN 4 20 +4.30% $5,916 $6,170 6 50% - +$254 -51.0% 2.2d -
40 DKNG 4 20 +4.16% $7,067 $7,361 8 38% - +$294 -50.2% 4.1d -
41 SLB 34 19 +4.01% $15,311 $15,925 4 50% - +$614 -22.2% 8.1d -
42 AMC 3 7 +3.90% $4,723 $4,907 10 40% - +$184 -59.9% 2.4d -
43 SLV 70 21🧊 +3.74% $32,787 $34,013 7 57% - +$1,226 -21.6% 7.3d -
44 DIA 22 +3.38% $11,260 $11,641 1 100% - +$381 -20.7% 20.9d -
45 CVX 37 17🧊 +3.33% $14,889 $15,385 4 50% - +$496 -13.5% 13.2d -
46 VZ 23 +3.29% $11,924 $12,317 1 100% - +$392 -14.2% 14.1d -
47 UNH 6 14 +3.20% $5,769 $5,954 4 50% - +$185 -54.0% 7.3d -
48 DIS 16 +2.89% $11,071 $11,391 2 50% - +$320 -24.9% 11.6d -
49 MSFT 29 +2.65% $15,665 $16,080 2 50% - +$415 -21.2% 13.3d -
50 VRTX 16 +1.91% $11,085 $11,296 2 50% - +$212 -25.6% 10.7d -
51 BMY 5 0 +1.85% $8,811 $8,974 3 33% - +$163 -28.4% 7.9d -
52 BIIB 4 31🔥 +1.74% $6,483 $6,596 3 67% - +$113 -46.7% 7.5d -
53 KO 28 +1.03% $13,248 $13,384 1 100% - +$136 -13.1% 18.7d -
54 NVDA 36 6🧊 +0.73% $20,375 $20,524 5 40% - +$149 -43.7% 3.8d -
55 BRK-B 21 +0.38% $12,470 $12,518 1 100% - +$47 -15.7% 16.3d -
56 XLF 32 -0.17% $13,673 $13,650 1 0% - -$23 -11.5% 17.6d -
57 AMGN 4 0 -0.59% $9,584 $9,527 3 33% - -$57 -28.3% 11.3d -
58 PM 22 -0.89% $11,907 $11,801 3 33% - -$106 -21.9% 12.3d -
59 JNJ 37 -0.91% $14,772 $14,638 3 33% - -$134 -13.8% 16.3d -
60 COST 32 11🧊 -0.98% $15,025 $14,878 5 40% - -$147 -19.7% 13.0d -
61 TMO 4 0 -1.35% $8,582 $8,466 3 33% - -$116 -28.6% 11.0d -
62 XLE 11 19 -1.38% $10,439 $10,295 4 50% - -$144 -24.7% 12.5d -
63 COIN 5 6 -1.46% $7,050 $6,947 9 33% - -$103 -53.5% 1.8d -
64 BLK 28 -1.72% $13,771 $13,535 2 50% - -$237 -17.2% 12.3d -
65 AMZN 41 0🧊 -1.91% $18,617 $18,262 3 33% - -$356 -18.5% 8.3d -
66 JPM 37 -2.18% $18,384 $17,983 1 0% - -$401 -20.8% 10.9d -
67 SCHW 44 -2.58% $16,340 $15,918 2 50% - -$422 -10.8% 11.7d -
68 MA 24 -2.98% $12,947 $12,561 2 50% - -$386 -11.3% 13.9d -
69 V 21 -3.07% $12,654 $12,266 2 50% - -$388 -14.4% 14.2d -
70 NFLX 38 -3.08% $22,702 $22,003 1 0% - -$699 -32.4% 9.5d -
71 TLT 4 -3.14% $7,128 $6,904 1 0% - -$224 -27.7% 20.2d -
72 WFC 17 -3.18% $11,734 $11,361 1 0% - -$373 -25.5% 8.9d -
73 PFE 5 -3.21% $9,102 $8,810 1 0% - -$292 -23.5% 10.8d -
74 ACN 3 -3.37% $4,554 $4,401 3 33% - -$153 -45.0% 9.3d -
75 AXP 27 -3.38% $14,923 $14,419 1 0% - -$504 -27.6% 10.6d -
76 PG 5 -3.42% $9,430 $9,107 1 0% - -$322 -24.4% 16.2d -
77 BAC 24 -3.69% $13,640 $13,137 1 0% - -$503 -21.4% 9.5d -
78 GLD 67 -4.37% $24,158 $23,103 2 0% - -$1,056 -6.1% 15.7d -
79 OXY 36 8🧊 -4.47% $18,979 $18,131 6 50% - -$848 -28.6% 8.2d -
80 XOM 25 1🧊 -5.16% $13,408 $12,716 4 25% - -$692 -18.5% 11.9d -
81 MCD 11 -5.83% $10,843 $10,211 2 0% - -$632 -12.9% 16.0d -
82 CMCSA 5 -6.01% $6,166 $5,796 2 0% - -$371 -36.1% 11.9d -
83 USO 28 6🧊 -6.15% $14,281 $13,403 8 38% - -$878 -18.0% 8.8d -
84 MDT 15 0 -6.29% $11,742 $11,003 3 0% - -$739 -12.1% 13.7d -
85 ISRG 5 -6.49% $10,717 $10,021 2 0% - -$696 -35.0% 8.4d -
86 COP 18 1 -6.60% $12,144 $11,342 4 25% - -$801 -20.6% 9.4d -
87 MRNA 5 5 -7.88% $9,300 $8,567 7 14% - -$733 -73.8% 2.3d -
88 CRM 5 3 -8.03% $8,723 $8,023 7 29% - -$700 -48.1% 7.3d -
89 META 27 -8.07% $16,829 $15,471 1 0% - -$1,358 -26.1% 6.9d -
90 HD 5 2 -8.19% $8,980 $8,244 5 20% - -$735 -19.9% 12.1d -
91 PEP 4 -9.16% $9,494 $8,625 3 0% - -$870 -23.1% 16.8d -
92 C 32 0🧊 -9.19% $18,253 $16,575 3 0% - -$1,677 -29.6% 8.3d -
93 UVXY 19 5 -9.47% $13,618 $12,329 8 25% - -$1,290 -50.0% 1.6d -
94 WMT 39 0🧊 -10.70% $18,711 $16,709 4 0% - -$2,002 -17.6% 14.4d -
95 GME 22 3 -11.28% $15,515 $13,765 7 14% - -$1,750 -32.0% 2.9d -
96 VXX 21 1 -11.93% $14,989 $13,200 4 0% - -$1,788 -32.2% 2.9d -
97 NIO 5 6 -11.99% $8,055 $7,089 9 33% - -$966 -51.1% 2.6d -
98 SPXU 3 1 -12.06% $9,331 $8,206 4 0% - -$1,125 -30.0% 5.6d -
99 REGN 5 -14.86% $6,706 $5,709 3 0% - -$997 -50.1% 7.6d -
100 PYPL 6 0 -15.40% $10,128 $8,568 3 0% - -$1,560 -35.9% 7.8d -
101 SQQQ 3 6 -19.76% $4,914 $3,943 9 11% - -$971 -66.3% 2.8d -
102 RBLX 14 3 -20.77% $13,329 $10,561 6 33% - -$2,768 -46.8% 3.9d -

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.