AMGN Marcus Reversal's Analysis
2024-01-02 18:55:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 63 trades executed
-17.68%
2 Years Return
$9,018.44
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$10,955.90
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
4.5/100
× Confidence 0.90
= 4.0
30-Day Momentum
0
-12.9%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,511
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
510 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,955.90
Current Value
$9,018.44
Total P&L
$-1,937.46
Max Drawdown
-28.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
55
Winners / Losers
21 /
34
Best Trade
+5.53%
Worst Trade
-11.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.26%
Avg Hold Time
11.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,073,837.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,937.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,937.46
Gross Return
-17.68%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.68%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 510 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,955.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2024 9:40am ET | $303.58 | 36 | $10,928.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2024 12:25pm ET | $318.99 | 36 | $11,483.64 | $11,510.58 |
+$554.69 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2024 2:05pm ET | $313.89 | 36 | $11,300.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 24, 2024 10:35am ET | $304.30 | 36 | $10,954.62 | $11,165.16 |
$-345.42 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2024 10:35am ET | $299.76 | 37 | $11,091.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2024 11:30am ET | $315.03 | 37 | $11,656.11 | $11,730.15 |
+$564.99 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
27d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2024 12:10pm ET | $320.58 | 36 | $11,540.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 28, 2024 2:50pm ET | $310.90 | 36 | $11,192.40 | $11,381.85 |
$-348.30 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2024 3:40pm ET | $310.45 | 36 | $11,176.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2024 11:25am ET | $326.98 | 36 | $11,771.28 | $11,976.93 |
+$595.08 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 12, 2024 3:45pm ET | $331.93 | 36 | $11,949.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2024 9:30am ET | $320.19 | 36 | $11,526.84 | $11,554.47 |
$-422.46 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25.7d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 9, 2024 2:25pm ET | $321.92 | 35 | $11,267.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $320.76 | 35 | $11,226.60 | $11,513.87 |
$-40.60 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2024 12:30pm ET | $323.99 | 35 | $11,339.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2024 2:40pm ET | $313.95 | 35 | $10,988.25 | $11,162.47 |
$-351.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 27, 2024 12:55pm ET | $325.01 | 34 | $11,050.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2024 9:35am ET | $315.06 | 34 | $10,712.11 | $10,824.24 |
$-338.23 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2024 9:55am ET | $316.66 | 34 | $10,766.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2024 2:15pm ET | $307.05 | 34 | $10,439.53 | $10,497.33 |
$-326.91 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2024 3:55pm ET | $301.45 | 34 | $10,249.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $289.53 | 34 | $9,844.02 | $10,092.05 |
$-405.28 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2024 9:30am ET | $280.54 | 35 | $9,818.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 22, 2024 11:50am ET | $294.60 | 35 | $10,311.00 | $10,584.15 |
+$492.10 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 3:55pm ET | $294.00 | 36 | $10,584.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $261.43 | 36 | $9,411.48 | $9,411.63 |
$-1,172.52 (-11.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 27, 2024 11:20am ET | $279.75 | 33 | $9,231.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2024 11:00am ET | $270.85 | 33 | $8,938.05 | $9,118.10 |
$-293.53 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2024 12:00pm ET | $274.07 | 33 | $9,044.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2024 3:00pm ET | $265.63 | 33 | $8,765.79 | $8,839.74 |
$-278.36 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 3:00pm ET | $261.36 | 33 | $8,624.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 17, 2025 3:00pm ET | $272.14 | 33 | $8,980.62 | $9,195.48 |
+$355.74 (+4.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $274.49 | 33 | $9,058.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 11:20am ET | $288.47 | 33 | $9,519.35 | $9,656.66 |
+$461.17 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2025 1:55pm ET | $288.15 | 33 | $9,508.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2025 9:40am ET | $304.08 | 33 | $10,034.48 | $10,182.18 |
+$525.53 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2025 10:10am ET | $304.28 | 33 | $10,041.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $295.00 | 33 | $9,735.00 | $9,875.94 |
$-306.24 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2025 3:00pm ET | $293.77 | 33 | $9,694.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2025 9:50am ET | $309.62 | 33 | $10,217.39 | $10,398.92 |
+$522.98 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 3:50pm ET | $315.30 | 32 | $10,089.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2025 1:50pm ET | $305.84 | 32 | $9,786.88 | $10,096.20 |
$-302.72 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2025 2:30pm ET | $306.70 | 32 | $9,814.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2025 9:40am ET | $323.17 | 32 | $10,341.28 | $10,623.08 |
+$526.88 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 12:05pm ET | $330.97 | 32 | $10,591.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $321.02 | 32 | $10,272.61 | $10,304.65 |
$-318.43 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $312.32 | 32 | $9,994.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $302.93 | 32 | $9,693.76 | $10,004.33 |
$-300.32 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 10:50am ET | $308.81 | 32 | $9,881.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 12:05pm ET | $299.51 | 32 | $9,584.32 | $9,706.73 |
$-297.60 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 2:55pm ET | $291.15 | 33 | $9,607.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 3:05pm ET | $282.16 | 33 | $9,311.12 | $9,409.90 |
$-296.84 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:45am ET | $282.60 | 33 | $9,325.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 11:35am ET | $274.04 | 33 | $9,043.32 | $9,127.58 |
$-282.32 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $292.77 | 31 | $9,075.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 1:40pm ET | $283.65 | 31 | $8,793.15 | $8,844.86 |
$-282.72 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $275.78 | 32 | $8,824.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2025 2:00pm ET | $289.71 | 32 | $9,270.69 | $9,290.56 |
+$445.70 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $283.42 | 32 | $9,069.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 9:45am ET | $274.16 | 32 | $8,773.27 | $8,994.56 |
$-296.01 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 2:10pm ET | $273.76 | 32 | $8,760.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 10:35am ET | $265.37 | 32 | $8,491.84 | $8,726.11 |
$-268.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 2:10pm ET | $269.17 | 32 | $8,613.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 10:35am ET | $282.67 | 32 | $9,045.44 | $9,158.27 |
+$432.16 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:55am ET | $285.32 | 32 | $9,130.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 2:30pm ET | $275.64 | 32 | $8,820.63 | $8,848.66 |
$-309.61 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $274.58 | 32 | $8,786.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 11:00am ET | $288.39 | 32 | $9,228.48 | $9,290.58 |
+$441.92 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 12:40pm ET | $295.93 | 31 | $9,173.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 12:40pm ET | $296.19 | 31 | $9,181.74 | $9,298.48 |
+$7.90 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2025 1:35pm ET | $297.93 | 31 | $9,235.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $287.70 | 31 | $8,918.69 | $8,981.50 |
$-316.98 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 10:40am ET | $283.46 | 31 | $8,787.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2025 9:45am ET | $297.70 | 31 | $9,228.55 | $9,422.78 |
+$441.29 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 11:40am ET | $293.97 | 32 | $9,407.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 11:00am ET | $285.00 | 32 | $9,120.00 | $9,135.74 |
$-287.04 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 12:05pm ET | $286.79 | 31 | $8,890.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 12:35pm ET | $277.47 | 31 | $8,601.42 | $8,846.82 |
$-288.92 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 3:35pm ET | $279.97 | 31 | $8,679.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 12:45pm ET | $271.57 | 31 | $8,418.67 | $8,586.42 |
$-260.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 12:10pm ET | $272.38 | 31 | $8,443.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $287.35 | 31 | $8,907.85 | $9,050.49 |
+$464.07 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 11:05am ET | $297.52 | 30 | $8,925.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:45am ET | $288.26 | 30 | $8,647.80 | $8,772.69 |
$-277.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 2:00pm ET | $289.89 | 30 | $8,696.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $305.59 | 30 | $9,167.55 | $9,243.54 |
+$470.85 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $316.71 | 29 | $9,184.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 12:05pm ET | $332.62 | 29 | $9,645.98 | $9,704.93 |
+$461.39 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 12:35pm ET | $337.75 | 28 | $9,457.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $327.03 | 28 | $9,156.70 | $9,404.63 |
$-300.30 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 9:55am ET | $319.00 | 29 | $9,251.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.10 | 29 | $9,717.90 | $9,871.53 |
+$466.90 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
29d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $338.13 | 29 | $9,805.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 12:40pm ET | $327.45 | 29 | $9,496.05 | $9,561.81 |
$-309.72 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:55pm ET | $323.53 | 29 | $9,382.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:55pm ET | $339.71 | 29 | $9,851.59 | $10,031.18 |
+$469.37 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:20pm ET | $346.90 | 28 | $9,713.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $364.48 | 28 | $10,205.30 | $10,523.28 |
+$492.10 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $365.79 | 28 | $10,242.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $384.13 | 28 | $10,755.64 | $11,036.80 |
+$513.52 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $373.26 | 29 | $10,824.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $361.84 | 29 | $10,493.34 | $10,705.60 |
$-331.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 2:55pm ET | $367.05 | 29 | $10,644.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $355.11 | 29 | $10,298.19 | $10,359.48 |
$-346.12 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.7d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 12:20pm ET | $350.75 | 29 | $10,171.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.25 | 29 | $9,751.25 | $9,938.98 |
$-420.50 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $348.46 | 28 | $9,756.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.79 | 28 | $9,402.12 | $9,584.22 |
$-354.76 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8d held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $347.56 | 27 | $9,384.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.61 | 27 | $8,818.34 | $9,018.44 |
$-565.78 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,018.44
Net Profit/Loss:
$-981.56
Total Return:
-9.82%