TLT Marcus Reversal's Analysis
2024-01-02 17:45:00+00 to 2026-02-13 20:55:00+00 • 35 trades executed
-20.03%
2 Years Return
$7,574.25
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$9,471.07
Period Start
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
89,666
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-02-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
540 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-02-19 — Presidents' Day, 2024-03-29 — Good Friday, 2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,471.07
Current Value
$7,574.25
Total P&L
$-1,896.83
Max Drawdown
-27.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
34
Winners / Losers
13 /
21
Best Trade
+5.02%
Worst Trade
-4.06%
Avg Trade Return
-0.69%
Avg Hold Time
20.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$568,877.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,896.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,896.83
Gross Return
-20.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.03%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 540 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,471.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 17, 2024 1:45pm ET | $94.51 | 102 | $9,640.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2024 1:45pm ET | $92.73 | 102 | $9,457.95 | $9,511.36 |
$-182.07 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2024 2:00pm ET | $92.91 | 102 | $9,476.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 21, 2024 3:00pm ET | $93.08 | 102 | $9,494.16 | $9,528.70 |
+$17.34 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2024 9:30am ET | $93.66 | 101 | $9,459.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2024 11:45am ET | $90.79 | 101 | $9,169.79 | $9,238.83 |
$-289.87 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 12, 2024 11:20am ET | $90.58 | 101 | $9,148.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2024 9:35am ET | $87.82 | 101 | $8,869.77 | $8,960.02 |
$-278.81 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2024 3:10pm ET | $89.19 | 100 | $8,919.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 17, 2024 3:10pm ET | $91.40 | 100 | $9,140.00 | $9,181.02 |
+$221.00 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2024 3:25pm ET | $91.17 | 100 | $9,117.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $93.37 | 100 | $9,336.50 | $9,400.52 |
+$219.50 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 21, 2024 10:40am ET | $93.66 | 100 | $9,366.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2024 9:30am ET | $90.45 | 100 | $9,044.50 | $9,079.02 |
$-321.50 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2024 10:45am ET | $90.31 | 100 | $9,030.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2024 3:55pm ET | $94.83 | 100 | $9,483.00 | $9,531.22 |
+$452.20 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
29.2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 10:40am ET | $98.66 | 96 | $9,470.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2024 2:35pm ET | $95.67 | 96 | $9,184.32 | $9,244.66 |
$-286.56 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 9, 2024 10:40am ET | $96.27 | 96 | $9,242.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $99.29 | 96 | $9,531.36 | $9,534.02 |
+$289.35 (+3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2024 11:40am ET | $100.74 | 94 | $9,469.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2024 10:20am ET | $97.71 | 94 | $9,184.27 | $9,248.73 |
$-285.29 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 27, 2024 10:45am ET | $98.24 | 94 | $9,234.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2024 9:30am ET | $95.07 | 94 | $8,937.04 | $8,951.21 |
$-297.52 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2024 9:30am ET | $94.50 | 94 | $8,883.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2024 11:45am ET | $91.61 | 94 | $8,611.21 | $8,679.42 |
$-271.79 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2024 10:50am ET | $92.53 | 93 | $8,605.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $89.75 | 93 | $8,346.75 | $8,420.88 |
$-258.54 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2024 1:45pm ET | $90.97 | 92 | $8,369.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $93.92 | 92 | $8,640.66 | $8,692.30 |
+$271.42 (+3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2024 9:30am ET | $93.08 | 93 | $8,656.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 13, 2024 12:25pm ET | $90.26 | 93 | $8,394.18 | $8,430.06 |
$-262.24 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2024 1:10pm ET | $90.59 | 93 | $8,424.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 9:45am ET | $87.84 | 93 | $8,169.12 | $8,174.30 |
$-255.76 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 1:05pm ET | $88.64 | 92 | $8,154.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $85.93 | 92 | $7,905.31 | $7,925.19 |
$-249.11 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2025 12:30pm ET | $85.64 | 92 | $7,878.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $89.92 | 92 | $8,272.64 | $8,319.41 |
+$394.22 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
28d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2025 3:05pm ET | $89.88 | 92 | $8,268.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2025 9:40am ET | $87.13 | 92 | $8,015.96 | $8,066.41 |
$-253.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 14, 2025 12:15pm ET | $89.32 | 90 | $8,038.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $90.64 | 90 | $8,157.52 | $8,185.13 |
+$118.72 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $90.71 | 90 | $8,163.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $87.02 | 90 | $7,831.79 | $7,853.47 |
$-331.66 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 10:35am ET | $87.85 | 89 | $7,818.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 11, 2025 11:00am ET | $85.13 | 89 | $7,576.13 | $7,610.95 |
$-242.52 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $87.09 | 87 | $7,576.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $85.63 | 87 | $7,449.93 | $7,484.06 |
$-126.90 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 10:40am ET | $86.42 | 86 | $7,431.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $83.44 | 86 | $7,176.24 | $7,228.60 |
$-255.45 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 2:25pm ET | $84.58 | 85 | $7,188.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.97 | 85 | $7,392.45 | $7,432.18 |
+$203.58 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.57 | 85 | $7,358.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $85.57 | 85 | $7,273.45 | $7,347.60 |
$-84.58 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $85.79 | 85 | $7,291.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.71 | 85 | $7,370.34 | $7,426.22 |
+$78.62 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.54 | 85 | $7,356.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 2:15pm ET | $90.89 | 85 | $7,725.75 | $7,795.66 |
+$369.44 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $89.19 | 87 | $7,759.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $91.44 | 87 | $7,955.26 | $7,991.39 |
+$195.73 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.7d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 9:50am ET | $91.88 | 86 | $7,901.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 11:00am ET | $89.08 | 86 | $7,660.88 | $7,750.90 |
$-240.50 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 12:45pm ET | $89.71 | 86 | $7,715.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.13 | 86 | $7,579.27 | $7,615.10 |
$-135.79 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:50am ET | $87.94 | 86 | $7,562.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:50am ET | $87.39 | 86 | $7,515.54 | $7,568.23 |
$-46.87 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.44 | 86 | $7,519.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $87.51 | 86 | $7,525.86 | $7,574.25 |
+$6.02 (+0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
28.3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,574.25
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,425.75
Total Return:
-24.26%