CVX Marcus Reversal's Analysis
2024-01-02 16:50:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 60 trades executed
+43.58%
2 Years Return
$15,627.08
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$10,883.67
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
38
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
14.6/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
42.9/100
× Confidence 0.89
= 38.3
30-Day Momentum
1
-6.1%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
54,212
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
529 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,883.67
Current Value
$15,627.08
Total P&L
$4,743.43
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
51
Winners / Losers
26 /
25
Best Trade
+10.09%
Worst Trade
-5.11%
Avg Trade Return
+0.81%
Avg Hold Time
12.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,214,866.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,743.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,743.43
Gross Return
+43.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+43.58%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 529 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,883.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2024 1:20pm ET | $162.40 | 67 | $10,880.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2024 10:10am ET | $157.23 | 67 | $10,534.41 | $10,537.28 |
$-346.39 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2024 1:30pm ET | $157.39 | 66 | $10,387.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2024 3:25pm ET | $152.52 | 66 | $10,066.32 | $10,215.98 |
$-321.30 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2024 3:55pm ET | $152.79 | 66 | $10,084.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $156.63 | 66 | $10,337.58 | $10,469.42 |
+$253.44 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.7d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2024 9:30am ET | $156.73 | 66 | $10,343.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $148.72 | 66 | $9,815.52 | $9,941.09 |
$-528.33 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $143.87 | 69 | $9,926.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $145.01 | 69 | $10,005.69 | $10,020.09 |
+$79.00 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2024 11:10am ET | $141.59 | 70 | $9,911.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2024 10:25am ET | $137.28 | 70 | $9,609.60 | $9,718.39 |
$-301.70 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2024 10:25am ET | $136.24 | 71 | $9,673.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2024 9:45am ET | $143.24 | 71 | $10,170.04 | $10,215.40 |
+$497.01 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2024 2:15pm ET | $145.92 | 70 | $10,214.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $141.50 | 70 | $9,904.65 | $9,905.65 |
$-309.75 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 27, 2024 12:30pm ET | $144.65 | 68 | $9,836.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2024 9:50am ET | $152.05 | 68 | $10,339.40 | $10,408.85 |
+$503.20 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 4, 2024 10:40am ET | $150.79 | 69 | $10,404.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $153.69 | 69 | $10,604.94 | $10,609.28 |
+$200.43 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2024 12:20pm ET | $153.88 | 68 | $10,463.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2024 2:20pm ET | $161.58 | 68 | $10,987.44 | $11,132.88 |
+$523.60 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2024 9:30am ET | $159.63 | 69 | $11,014.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2024 10:25am ET | $154.83 | 69 | $10,683.27 | $10,802.03 |
$-330.85 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 13, 2024 10:25am ET | $153.72 | 70 | $10,760.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $147.77 | 70 | $10,343.90 | $10,385.53 |
$-416.50 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 10:10am ET | $146.87 | 70 | $10,280.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 11:05am ET | $142.23 | 70 | $9,956.10 | $10,060.73 |
$-324.80 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 2:05pm ET | $141.83 | 70 | $9,928.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $149.50 | 70 | $10,464.65 | $10,597.28 |
+$536.55 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2025 3:00pm ET | $149.70 | 70 | $10,479.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $157.48 | 70 | $11,023.60 | $11,141.88 |
+$544.60 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2025 9:40am ET | $159.12 | 70 | $11,138.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $151.65 | 70 | $10,615.15 | $10,618.63 |
$-523.25 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 12:25pm ET | $149.70 | 70 | $10,479.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2025 9:55am ET | $157.22 | 70 | $11,005.05 | $11,144.37 |
+$525.74 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2025 12:00pm ET | $156.16 | 71 | $11,087.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $151.25 | 71 | $10,738.40 | $10,795.40 |
$-348.96 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $150.85 | 71 | $10,710.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $158.44 | 71 | $11,249.24 | $11,334.29 |
+$538.89 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2025 10:10am ET | $154.93 | 73 | $11,310.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2025 9:50am ET | $163.03 | 73 | $11,901.19 | $11,925.37 |
+$591.08 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2025 11:25am ET | $163.61 | 72 | $11,779.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 9:50am ET | $158.70 | 72 | $11,426.40 | $11,571.85 |
$-353.52 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:50am ET | $148.42 | 77 | $11,427.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 2:40pm ET | $143.58 | 77 | $11,055.66 | $11,199.56 |
$-372.29 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 3:05pm ET | $139.43 | 80 | $11,154.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 3:40pm ET | $135.07 | 80 | $10,805.60 | $10,851.09 |
$-348.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:50am ET | $141.23 | 76 | $10,733.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 12:00pm ET | $136.64 | 76 | $10,384.64 | $10,502.25 |
$-348.84 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2025 10:40am ET | $136.26 | 77 | $10,492.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $143.09 | 77 | $11,017.93 | $11,028.16 |
+$525.91 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
28d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $141.53 | 77 | $10,897.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 2:25pm ET | $137.16 | 77 | $10,561.32 | $10,691.67 |
$-336.49 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 2:45pm ET | $136.19 | 78 | $10,622.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $143.17 | 78 | $11,167.26 | $11,236.50 |
+$544.83 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2025 2:10pm ET | $144.65 | 77 | $11,138.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 12:20pm ET | $152.04 | 77 | $11,706.99 | $11,805.43 |
+$568.94 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2025 2:20pm ET | $152.82 | 77 | $11,767.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 2:25pm ET | $148.06 | 77 | $11,400.62 | $11,438.91 |
$-366.52 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 2:30pm ET | $150.11 | 76 | $11,408.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 12:10pm ET | $158.00 | 76 | $12,008.01 | $12,038.56 |
+$599.65 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 2:10pm ET | $155.64 | 77 | $11,983.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 2:10pm ET | $159.97 | 77 | $12,317.31 | $12,371.97 |
+$333.41 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $157.49 | 78 | $12,283.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 9:45am ET | $152.50 | 78 | $11,895.00 | $11,983.14 |
$-388.83 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 1:20pm ET | $154.04 | 77 | $11,861.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:55am ET | $149.36 | 77 | $11,500.72 | $11,622.78 |
$-360.36 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 2:50pm ET | $151.21 | 76 | $11,491.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 10:45am ET | $158.82 | 76 | $12,069.94 | $12,200.76 |
+$577.98 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 12:50pm ET | $155.35 | 78 | $12,117.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:45am ET | $150.48 | 78 | $11,737.44 | $11,820.90 |
$-379.86 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:25am ET | $151.74 | 77 | $11,683.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $147.13 | 77 | $11,329.01 | $11,465.93 |
$-354.97 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 1:25pm ET | $148.55 | 77 | $11,438.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.53 | 77 | $12,591.80 | $12,619.69 |
+$1,153.76 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.46 | 77 | $12,586.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $158.49 | 77 | $12,203.73 | $12,237.00 |
$-382.69 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $155.83 | 78 | $12,154.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.70 | 78 | $12,768.60 | $12,850.86 |
+$613.86 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $167.07 | 76 | $12,696.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 2:15pm ET | $175.76 | 76 | $13,357.76 | $13,511.68 |
+$660.82 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $174.42 | 77 | $13,430.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $182.67 | 77 | $14,065.59 | $14,146.93 |
+$635.25 (+4.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
7d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $181.70 | 77 | $13,990.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $191.14 | 77 | $14,717.78 | $14,873.81 |
+$726.88 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 2:05pm ET | $185.24 | 80 | $14,819.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:15am ET | $194.61 | 80 | $15,568.80 | $15,623.41 |
+$749.60 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $195.04 | 80 | $15,603.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $204.88 | 80 | $16,390.40 | $16,410.61 |
+$787.20 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $203.79 | 80 | $16,303.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $214.07 | 80 | $17,125.44 | $17,232.85 |
+$822.24 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:05pm ET | $211.58 | 81 | $17,137.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $204.36 | 81 | $16,553.16 | $16,648.02 |
$-584.83 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $195.50 | 85 | $16,617.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.88 | 85 | $16,054.80 | $16,085.32 |
$-562.70 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $195.08 | 82 | $15,996.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $188.32 | 82 | $15,442.24 | $15,531.01 |
$-554.31 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $189.79 | 81 | $15,372.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.86 | 81 | $14,730.66 | $14,888.68 |
$-642.33 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $184.45 | 80 | $14,756.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $193.68 | 80 | $15,494.40 | $15,627.08 |
+$738.40 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,627.08
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,627.08
Total Return:
+56.27%