PEP Marcus Reversal's Analysis
2024-01-03 18:50:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 44 trades executed
-3.01%
2 Years Return
$9,494.29
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$9,788.62
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
4.6/100
× Confidence 0.81
= 3.8
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,896
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
524 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,788.62
Current Value
$9,494.29
Total P&L
$-294.33
Max Drawdown
-23.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
38
Winners / Losers
15 /
23
Best Trade
+9.92%
Worst Trade
-4.79%
Avg Trade Return
+0.00%
Avg Hold Time
17.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$682,111.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-294.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$-294.33
Gross Return
-3.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.01%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 524 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,788.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 25, 2024 2:20pm ET | $176.57 | 55 | $9,711.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2024 9:30am ET | $174.57 | 55 | $9,601.35 | $9,693.47 |
$-110.00 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
32.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2024 12:05pm ET | $171.46 | 56 | $9,601.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2024 10:55am ET | $166.24 | 56 | $9,309.44 | $9,401.15 |
$-292.32 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2024 9:45am ET | $164.66 | 57 | $9,385.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 12, 2024 9:45am ET | $165.64 | 57 | $9,441.48 | $9,457.01 |
+$55.86 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2024 9:45am ET | $166.17 | 56 | $9,305.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2024 1:55pm ET | $174.54 | 56 | $9,774.24 | $9,925.73 |
+$468.72 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2024 10:40am ET | $177.24 | 56 | $9,925.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2024 3:55pm ET | $171.77 | 56 | $9,619.12 | $9,619.41 |
$-306.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 9, 2024 9:35am ET | $170.63 | 56 | $9,555.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2024 9:35am ET | $179.47 | 56 | $10,050.32 | $10,114.45 |
+$495.04 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
26d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2024 11:35am ET | $178.07 | 56 | $9,971.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $171.93 | 56 | $9,627.80 | $9,770.33 |
$-344.12 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2024 12:35pm ET | $173.08 | 56 | $9,692.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2024 9:40am ET | $167.62 | 56 | $9,386.72 | $9,464.57 |
$-305.76 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 4, 2024 10:10am ET | $167.81 | 56 | $9,397.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2024 10:15am ET | $176.27 | 56 | $9,870.84 | $9,938.05 |
+$473.48 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2024 10:35am ET | $174.58 | 56 | $9,776.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2024 9:30am ET | $168.34 | 56 | $9,427.04 | $9,588.61 |
$-349.44 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2024 9:50am ET | $166.91 | 57 | $9,513.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 15, 2024 9:50am ET | $161.89 | 57 | $9,227.45 | $9,302.47 |
$-286.14 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2024 3:40pm ET | $158.51 | 58 | $9,193.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 3:40pm ET | $155.07 | 58 | $8,994.06 | $9,103.24 |
$-199.23 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2024 3:40pm ET | $152.26 | 59 | $8,983.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2025 10:25am ET | $147.34 | 59 | $8,693.06 | $8,813.25 |
$-289.99 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2025 11:35am ET | $146.47 | 60 | $8,788.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $142.01 | 60 | $8,520.60 | $8,545.65 |
$-267.60 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2025 9:45am ET | $144.24 | 59 | $8,510.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $152.55 | 59 | $9,000.45 | $9,035.94 |
+$490.29 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $153.73 | 58 | $8,916.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $146.36 | 58 | $8,488.88 | $8,608.48 |
$-427.46 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2025 10:15am ET | $144.21 | 59 | $8,508.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2025 11:35am ET | $151.85 | 59 | $8,959.15 | $9,059.24 |
+$450.76 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 11:35am ET | $154.75 | 58 | $8,975.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $147.66 | 58 | $8,564.28 | $8,648.02 |
$-411.22 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2025 11:15am ET | $148.82 | 58 | $8,631.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $142.60 | 58 | $8,270.80 | $8,287.26 |
$-360.76 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 1:00pm ET | $143.11 | 57 | $8,157.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2025 10:05am ET | $138.75 | 57 | $7,908.47 | $8,038.46 |
$-248.81 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 25, 2025 10:05am ET | $132.53 | 60 | $7,951.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 10:50am ET | $128.50 | 60 | $7,710.01 | $7,796.66 |
$-241.79 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 2:05pm ET | $130.53 | 59 | $7,701.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $131.51 | 59 | $7,759.09 | $7,854.48 |
+$57.82 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2025 11:30am ET | $130.96 | 59 | $7,726.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $143.95 | 59 | $8,493.20 | $8,621.04 |
+$766.56 (+9.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
29.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 18, 2025 9:35am ET | $144.33 | 59 | $8,515.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2025 11:05am ET | $139.62 | 59 | $8,237.64 | $8,343.21 |
$-277.83 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 9:35am ET | $139.00 | 60 | $8,340.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $146.23 | 60 | $8,773.80 | $8,777.01 |
+$433.80 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 1:55pm ET | $148.80 | 58 | $8,630.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $143.58 | 58 | $8,327.64 | $8,474.25 |
$-302.76 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $142.21 | 59 | $8,390.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $148.94 | 59 | $8,787.46 | $8,871.32 |
+$397.07 (+4.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 10:20am ET | $148.51 | 59 | $8,762.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:25am ET | $143.80 | 59 | $8,484.20 | $8,593.43 |
$-277.89 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:40am ET | $143.34 | 59 | $8,457.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $150.59 | 59 | $8,884.81 | $9,021.18 |
+$427.75 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
29d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $147.45 | 61 | $8,994.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $142.96 | 61 | $8,720.55 | $8,747.28 |
$-273.90 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 1:15pm ET | $143.15 | 61 | $8,732.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $138.79 | 61 | $8,466.19 | $8,481.32 |
$-265.96 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:15pm ET | $137.19 | 61 | $8,368.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $144.29 | 61 | $8,801.69 | $8,914.42 |
+$433.10 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:15pm ET | $146.33 | 60 | $8,779.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $153.66 | 60 | $9,219.60 | $9,354.22 |
+$439.80 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:45pm ET | $160.86 | 58 | $9,329.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $169.36 | 58 | $9,822.88 | $9,847.22 |
+$493.00 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $166.88 | 59 | $9,845.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $166.59 | 59 | $9,828.81 | $9,830.11 |
$-17.11 (-0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $164.57 | 59 | $9,709.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.25 | 59 | $9,336.75 | $9,457.23 |
$-372.88 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $160.08 | 59 | $9,444.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.25 | 59 | $9,159.75 | $9,172.15 |
$-285.08 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 2:35pm ET | $153.04 | 59 | $9,029.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.50 | 59 | $9,351.50 | $9,494.29 |
+$322.14 (+3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,494.29
Net Profit/Loss:
$-505.71
Total Return:
-5.06%