KO Marcus Reversal's Analysis
2024-01-03 18:50:00+00 to 2026-06-24 19:55:00+00 • 43 trades executed
+23.12%
2 Years Return
$13,145.95
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$10,677.35
Period Start
Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026
29
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
8.4/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality
35.4/100
× Confidence 0.83
= 29.4
30-Day Momentum
3
-0.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
59,496
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
517 days
Data Gaps
10 days with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data), 2025-12-01 (no data), 2025-12-02 (no data), 2025-12-03 (no data), 2025-12-04 (no data) ... and 5 more
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,677.35
Current Value
$13,145.95
Total P&L
$2,468.59
Max Drawdown
-13.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
36
Winners / Losers
19 /
17
Best Trade
+6.87%
Worst Trade
-4.96%
Avg Trade Return
+0.66%
Avg Hold Time
17.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$897,709.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,468.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,468.59
Gross Return
+23.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.12%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 KO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 517 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,677.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 21, 2024 11:35am ET | $62.71 | 170 | $10,659.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2024 9:30am ET | $64.70 | 170 | $10,999.00 | $11,002.06 |
+$339.15 (+3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2024 10:40am ET | $65.24 | 168 | $10,959.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $69.58 | 168 | $11,689.44 | $11,732.02 |
+$729.96 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 10:35am ET | $68.18 | 172 | $11,726.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2024 11:00am ET | $71.60 | 172 | $12,315.20 | $12,320.26 |
+$588.24 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 30, 2024 11:15am ET | $71.98 | 171 | $12,308.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $72.04 | 171 | $12,318.84 | $12,330.52 |
+$10.26 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2024 11:25am ET | $72.27 | 170 | $12,285.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $69.96 | 170 | $11,893.20 | $11,937.83 |
$-392.68 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2024 9:30am ET | $69.37 | 172 | $11,931.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2024 11:05am ET | $67.28 | 172 | $11,571.99 | $11,577.92 |
$-359.91 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 25, 2024 11:55am ET | $67.32 | 171 | $11,510.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 1, 2024 9:55am ET | $65.20 | 171 | $11,148.35 | $11,215.40 |
$-362.52 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2024 10:40am ET | $64.97 | 172 | $11,174.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2024 9:30am ET | $62.79 | 172 | $10,799.88 | $10,840.44 |
$-374.96 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2024 10:10am ET | $62.57 | 173 | $10,824.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2024 9:30am ET | $63.76 | 173 | $11,030.48 | $11,046.31 |
+$205.87 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 10:50am ET | $62.94 | 175 | $11,014.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2025 1:20pm ET | $61.04 | 175 | $10,681.79 | $10,713.60 |
$-332.71 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2025 3:10pm ET | $60.84 | 176 | $10,706.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 2:00pm ET | $63.97 | 176 | $11,257.84 | $11,264.48 |
+$550.88 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2025 2:00pm ET | $62.77 | 179 | $11,234.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $67.08 | 179 | $12,007.02 | $12,036.56 |
+$772.08 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2025 10:45am ET | $69.04 | 174 | $12,012.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 9:40am ET | $72.50 | 174 | $12,615.00 | $12,639.47 |
+$602.91 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2025 11:15am ET | $70.25 | 179 | $12,574.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 11:05am ET | $73.78 | 179 | $13,205.73 | $13,270.45 |
+$630.98 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
29d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 11:15am ET | $71.28 | 186 | $13,258.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $67.75 | 186 | $12,600.57 | $12,612.94 |
$-657.51 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 1:05pm ET | $69.15 | 182 | $12,585.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2025 3:30pm ET | $72.62 | 182 | $13,215.93 | $13,243.57 |
+$630.63 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2025 12:50pm ET | $72.30 | 183 | $13,229.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $69.03 | 183 | $12,632.49 | $12,646.07 |
$-597.50 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 11:20am ET | $69.04 | 183 | $12,633.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $72.58 | 183 | $13,282.14 | $13,294.81 |
+$648.74 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
27.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $71.26 | 186 | $13,254.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2025 11:25am ET | $69.08 | 186 | $12,849.49 | $12,889.94 |
$-404.87 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 10:45am ET | $70.12 | 183 | $12,831.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 10:45am ET | $69.38 | 183 | $12,695.63 | $12,753.94 |
$-136.01 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2025 12:10pm ET | $68.36 | 186 | $12,714.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 12:10pm ET | $68.65 | 186 | $12,768.90 | $12,808.81 |
+$54.87 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2025 3:45pm ET | $68.42 | 187 | $12,794.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 11:10am ET | $66.37 | 187 | $12,410.26 | $12,424.52 |
$-384.29 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 12:30pm ET | $66.88 | 185 | $12,371.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 12:30pm ET | $68.28 | 185 | $12,630.88 | $12,683.52 |
+$259.00 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 11:05am ET | $70.64 | 179 | $12,644.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 11:30am ET | $68.49 | 179 | $12,259.71 | $12,298.67 |
$-384.85 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 1:35pm ET | $68.83 | 178 | $12,250.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $73.06 | 178 | $13,003.79 | $13,051.61 |
+$752.94 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $69.44 | 187 | $12,984.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET | $67.35 | 187 | $12,593.52 | $12,660.78 |
$-390.83 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
26.2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $70.46 | 179 | $12,611.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $73.98 | 179 | $13,242.42 | $13,291.76 |
+$630.98 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $74.50 | 178 | $13,260.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $78.43 | 178 | $13,960.54 | $13,992.19 |
+$700.43 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $78.61 | 177 | $13,914.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $77.97 | 177 | $13,801.57 | $13,878.91 |
$-113.28 (-0.8%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:30am ET | $78.94 | 175 | $13,815.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:15pm ET | $76.56 | 175 | $13,398.02 | $13,461.55 |
$-417.36 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.61 | 175 | $13,407.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $74.28 | 175 | $12,999.00 | $13,052.93 |
$-408.62 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:45am ET | $75.15 | 173 | $13,001.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.28 | 173 | $13,196.44 | $13,247.56 |
+$194.63 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:20pm ET | $79.76 | 166 | $13,240.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 1:20pm ET | $80.58 | 166 | $13,377.11 | $13,384.49 |
+$136.93 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 1:55pm ET | $79.43 | 168 | $13,343.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:30pm ET | $77.04 | 168 | $12,942.72 | $12,983.81 |
$-400.68 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 3:45pm ET | $79.70 | 162 | $12,911.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $83.82 | 162 | $13,578.03 | $13,650.44 |
+$666.63 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:50am ET | $83.61 | 163 | $13,627.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $80.51 | 163 | $13,123.13 | $13,145.95 |
$-504.49 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,145.95
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,145.95
Total Return:
+31.46%