CSCO Marcus Reversal's Analysis
2024-01-02 16:45:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 53 trades executed
+149.11%
2 Years Return
$23,770.51
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$9,542.24
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
67
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.8/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
9.6/15
Consistency
8.2/10
Raw Quality
78.2/100
× Confidence 0.86
= 67.5
30-Day Momentum
30
+7.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.2
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
57,699
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
526 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,542.24
Current Value
$23,770.51
Total P&L
$14,228.24
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
49
Winners / Losers
31 /
18
Best Trade
+9.80%
Worst Trade
-4.66%
Avg Trade Return
+1.94%
Avg Hold Time
13.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,465,494.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$14,228.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$14,228.24
Gross Return
+149.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+149.11%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 526 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,542.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2024 2:35pm ET | $47.85 | 202 | $9,665.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 17, 2024 2:35pm ET | $48.29 | 202 | $9,754.58 | $9,762.42 |
+$88.88 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2024 3:30pm ET | $47.07 | 207 | $9,743.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2024 9:30am ET | $45.34 | 207 | $9,384.35 | $9,403.27 |
$-359.15 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $45.46 | 206 | $9,364.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 21, 2024 2:05pm ET | $47.74 | 206 | $9,834.44 | $9,872.95 |
+$469.68 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2024 2:05pm ET | $47.12 | 209 | $9,848.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2024 10:10am ET | $45.69 | 209 | $9,549.54 | $9,574.38 |
$-298.58 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2024 10:45am ET | $45.94 | 208 | $9,555.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2024 12:40pm ET | $48.26 | 208 | $10,037.04 | $10,055.73 |
+$481.35 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 18, 2024 1:40pm ET | $48.41 | 207 | $10,020.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2024 10:05am ET | $46.96 | 207 | $9,719.69 | $9,754.54 |
$-301.19 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2024 12:25pm ET | $46.56 | 209 | $9,730.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:50am ET | $45.15 | 209 | $9,436.35 | $9,460.90 |
$-293.65 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2024 3:00pm ET | $45.38 | 208 | $9,438.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $49.69 | 208 | $10,335.52 | $10,358.42 |
+$897.52 (+9.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 16, 2024 1:50pm ET | $49.51 | 209 | $10,347.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2024 10:00am ET | $48.00 | 209 | $10,030.96 | $10,041.78 |
$-316.64 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 13, 2024 2:45pm ET | $49.83 | 201 | $10,015.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2024 9:40am ET | $52.40 | 201 | $10,532.40 | $10,558.35 |
+$516.57 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2024 2:45pm ET | $52.42 | 201 | $10,535.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2024 9:30am ET | $55.67 | 201 | $11,189.67 | $11,212.61 |
+$654.26 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2024 1:20pm ET | $56.30 | 199 | $11,202.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $59.23 | 199 | $11,786.77 | $11,796.67 |
+$584.06 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2024 11:00am ET | $58.68 | 201 | $11,793.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2024 9:30am ET | $56.70 | 201 | $11,396.70 | $11,399.70 |
$-396.97 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2024 1:55pm ET | $57.62 | 197 | $11,350.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $58.37 | 197 | $11,498.89 | $11,548.43 |
+$148.73 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 27, 2024 10:25am ET | $59.56 | 193 | $11,495.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $60.72 | 193 | $11,718.96 | $11,772.31 |
+$223.88 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2025 12:00pm ET | $59.18 | 198 | $11,716.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2025 11:50am ET | $62.20 | 198 | $12,314.61 | $12,370.27 |
+$597.96 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2025 2:05pm ET | $62.28 | 198 | $12,332.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $66.29 | 198 | $13,125.42 | $13,163.54 |
+$793.27 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $63.69 | 206 | $13,120.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $61.72 | 206 | $12,714.32 | $12,757.72 |
$-405.82 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 9:40am ET | $60.80 | 209 | $12,707.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:05am ET | $58.78 | 209 | $12,285.02 | $12,335.54 |
$-422.18 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 10:05am ET | $56.70 | 217 | $12,302.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 2:30pm ET | $54.98 | 217 | $11,930.66 | $11,963.39 |
$-372.16 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 3:25pm ET | $54.23 | 220 | $11,930.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 1:45pm ET | $57.00 | 220 | $12,538.90 | $12,571.69 |
+$608.30 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2025 11:15am ET | $56.38 | 222 | $12,516.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 10:50am ET | $54.66 | 222 | $12,134.52 | $12,189.85 |
$-381.84 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2025 11:35am ET | $54.89 | 222 | $12,185.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2025 3:50pm ET | $57.79 | 222 | $12,828.27 | $12,832.54 |
+$642.69 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 2, 2025 1:10pm ET | $59.07 | 217 | $12,818.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $62.03 | 217 | $13,460.51 | $13,474.86 |
+$642.32 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $61.47 | 219 | $13,460.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 9:50am ET | $64.70 | 219 | $14,169.30 | $14,183.32 |
+$708.47 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $63.54 | 223 | $14,169.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $65.14 | 223 | $14,526.22 | $14,540.12 |
+$356.80 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2025 11:15am ET | $65.82 | 220 | $14,479.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 3:00pm ET | $69.12 | 220 | $15,206.40 | $15,267.00 |
+$726.88 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 3:00pm ET | $68.48 | 222 | $15,201.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $67.82 | 222 | $15,056.04 | $15,121.59 |
$-145.41 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 10:45am ET | $68.41 | 221 | $15,117.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2025 1:30pm ET | $71.86 | 221 | $15,879.96 | $15,884.04 |
+$762.45 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 1:30pm ET | $70.90 | 224 | $15,880.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $67.59 | 224 | $15,140.16 | $15,143.70 |
$-740.34 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 11:40am ET | $67.13 | 225 | $15,103.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 11:40am ET | $68.14 | 225 | $15,331.84 | $15,372.41 |
+$228.71 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 2:15pm ET | $67.96 | 226 | $15,358.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $70.60 | 226 | $15,955.60 | $15,969.05 |
+$596.64 (+3.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 1:30pm ET | $70.89 | 225 | $15,949.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $74.50 | 225 | $16,762.50 | $16,782.43 |
+$813.37 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 11:25am ET | $73.18 | 229 | $16,757.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 12:10pm ET | $70.89 | 229 | $16,233.81 | $16,259.14 |
$-523.29 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 12:50pm ET | $70.58 | 230 | $16,233.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $77.50 | 230 | $17,825.00 | $17,850.72 |
+$1,591.58 (+9.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $75.88 | 235 | $17,831.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:50am ET | $79.71 | 235 | $18,730.68 | $18,749.59 |
+$898.88 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 1:15pm ET | $76.14 | 246 | $18,729.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 1:05pm ET | $79.96 | 246 | $19,668.93 | $19,689.31 |
+$939.72 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 3:20pm ET | $79.34 | 248 | $19,676.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:30am ET | $76.76 | 248 | $19,036.48 | $19,049.47 |
$-639.84 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:10pm ET | $77.10 | 247 | $19,042.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $74.72 | 247 | $18,455.84 | $18,462.85 |
$-586.63 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $74.29 | 248 | $18,423.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $78.13 | 248 | $19,375.00 | $19,413.93 |
+$951.08 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $78.17 | 248 | $19,384.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.76 | 248 | $20,524.48 | $20,553.49 |
+$1,139.56 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $82.90 | 247 | $20,476.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $87.05 | 247 | $21,501.35 | $21,578.54 |
+$1,025.05 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $76.86 | 280 | $21,522.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:35pm ET | $80.75 | 280 | $22,608.60 | $22,664.94 |
+$1,086.40 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $78.67 | 288 | $22,655.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $75.73 | 288 | $21,810.24 | $21,819.66 |
$-845.28 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $78.54 | 277 | $21,755.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 10:30am ET | $82.53 | 277 | $22,860.81 | $22,924.89 |
+$1,105.23 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:50am ET | $82.25 | 278 | $22,866.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $79.66 | 278 | $22,145.48 | $22,203.48 |
$-721.41 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $78.51 | 282 | $22,139.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET | $82.55 | 282 | $23,279.10 | $23,342.79 |
+$1,139.31 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $83.21 | 280 | $23,298.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $87.40 | 280 | $24,472.00 | $24,515.99 |
+$1,173.20 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:30am ET | $89.55 | 273 | $24,447.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 11:55am ET | $86.82 | 273 | $23,701.86 | $23,770.51 |
$-745.48 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$23,770.51
Net Profit/Loss:
+$13,770.51
Total Return:
+137.71%