Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:01:38

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.2/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 29.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 29.7

30-Day Momentum

34
+11.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 42.0 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,735
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,738.52
Current Value
$18,353.18
Period P&L
$3,614.67
Max Drawdown
-31.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.46

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+11.55%
Worst Trade
-3.81%
Avg Trade Return
+2.63%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$295,112.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,614.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,614.67
Gross Return
+24.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $14,738.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $148.72 99 $14,723.28
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $144.04 99 $14,260.45 $14,275.68 $-462.83
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $146.95 97 $14,253.67
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $156.46 97 $15,176.62 $15,198.63 +$922.95
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $159.77 95 $15,178.15
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:50am ET $167.86 95 $15,946.70 $15,967.18 +$768.55
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $174.41 91 $15,871.31
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:45am ET $183.20 91 $16,671.20 $16,767.07 +$799.89
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $203.38 82 $16,677.47
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $221.94 82 $18,199.20 $18,288.80 +$1,521.73
(+9.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $224.49 81 $18,183.69
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $217.30 81 $17,601.30 $17,706.41 $-582.39
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $201.94 87 $17,568.78
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $194.24 87 $16,899.31 $17,036.94 $-669.47
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $210.94 80 $16,875.20
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:45am ET $203.70 80 $16,295.60 $16,457.34 $-579.60
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:50am ET $205.22 80 $16,417.55
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $228.92 80 $18,313.39 $18,353.18 +$1,895.84
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,353.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,353.18
Total Return: +83.53%
Back to Marcus Reversal