Compendium › Marcus Reversal › BMY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BMY
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

-9.05%
Last Month Return
$8,810.92
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$9,687.53
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:26:10

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 4.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-9.1%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,752
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,687.53
Current Value
$8,810.92
Period P&L
$-876.64
Max Drawdown
-28.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-45.81

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-3.02%
Worst Trade
-3.17%
Avg Trade Return
-3.12%
Avg Hold Time
6.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$55,413.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-876.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$-876.64
Gross Return
-9.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,687.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:15am ET $59.06 164 $9,686.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $57.28 164 $9,394.03 $9,394.94 $-292.62
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $60.08 156 $9,372.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $58.19 156 $9,076.86 $9,099.32 $-295.62
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:50am ET $59.38 153 $9,085.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $57.50 153 $8,797.50 $8,810.92 $-288.40
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,810.92
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,189.08
Total Return: -11.89%
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