Compendium › Marcus Reversal › CMCSA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CMCSA
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-6.12%
Last Month Return
$5,980.19
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$6,369.81
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:22

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 5.4/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.9%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,369.81
Current Value
$5,980.19
Period P&L
$-389.63
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.38

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.02%
Worst Trade
-4.67%
Avg Trade Return
-1.45%
Avg Hold Time
5.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$50,769.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-389.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-389.63
Gross Return
-6.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $6,369.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $27.89 227 $6,329.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $29.28 227 $6,647.69 $6,675.13 +$317.80
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $29.95 222 $6,648.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $29.01 222 $6,441.33 $6,467.56 $-207.57
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $31.77 203 $6,450.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $30.29 203 $6,148.87 $6,166.11 $-301.45
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $27.43 224 $6,144.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:50am ET $26.60 224 $5,958.40 $5,980.19 $-185.92
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,980.19
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,019.81
Total Return: -40.20%
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