Compendium › Marcus Reversal › CMCSA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CMCSA
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-20 to present • 3 trades in period

-7.78%
Last Month Return
$5,272.58
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$5,717.48
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:29:36

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-9.0%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,717.48
Current Value
$5,272.58
Period P&L
$-444.91
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-34.28

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-3.00%
Worst Trade
-3.22%
Avg Trade Return
-3.11%
Avg Hold Time
10.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$33,184.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-444.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-444.91
Gross Return
-7.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $5,717.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:10am ET $25.16 230 $5,785.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $24.40 230 $5,612.00 $5,622.04 $-173.65
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:50am ET $23.92 235 $5,620.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:15pm ET $23.17 235 $5,446.12 $5,448.14 $-173.90
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $23.90 228 $5,448.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $23.13 228 $5,272.50 $5,272.58 $-175.56
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,272.58
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,727.42
Total Return: -47.27%
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