Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:02:18

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 22.2/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 20.2

30-Day Momentum

2
-10.8%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,735
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,606.43
Current Value
$11,537.33
Period P&L
$-2,069.11
Max Drawdown
-20.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.75

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+5.02%
Worst Trade
-5.42%
Avg Trade Return
-2.66%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$146,694.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,069.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,069.11
Gross Return
-15.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,606.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET $129.80 104 $13,499.32
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $122.76 104 $12,767.04 $12,874.16 $-732.28
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET $126.85 101 $12,811.85
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $122.68 101 $12,390.18 $12,452.49 $-421.67
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET $123.29 101 $12,452.29
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:25am ET $119.59 101 $12,078.59 $12,078.79 $-373.70
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $119.00 101 $12,019.00
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $113.93 101 $11,507.43 $11,567.22 $-511.57
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $117.17 98 $11,482.66
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $123.06 98 $12,059.39 $12,143.95 +$576.73
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $123.64 98 $12,116.72
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $117.45 98 $11,510.10 $11,537.33 $-606.62
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,537.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,537.33
Total Return: +15.37%
Back to Marcus Reversal