Compendium › Marcus Reversal › GLD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GLD
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-21 to present • 3 trades in period

-0.13%
Last Month Return
$23,516.35
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$23,545.99
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-21 00:17:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.7/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
7.6/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality 76.6/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 66.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-67 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$23,545.99
Current Value
$23,516.35
Period P&L
$-29.61
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.16%
Worst Trade
-4.38%
Avg Trade Return
-0.80%
Avg Hold Time
14.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$137,214.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-29.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$-29.61
Gross Return
-0.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $23,545.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:15pm ET $423.24 57 $24,124.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $404.70 57 $23,067.90 $23,102.50 $-1,056.78
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
26.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $406.53 56 $22,765.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $393.61 56 $22,042.16 $22,378.98 $-723.52
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:50am ET $379.97 58 $22,038.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $399.58 58 $23,175.64 $23,516.35 +$1,137.37
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,516.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,516.35
Total Return: +135.16%
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