Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 20:04:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.7/35
Total Return
18.3/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
5.0/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 55.7/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 53.0

30-Day Momentum

0
-9.2%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-53 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$27,833.15
Current Value
$25,645.98
Period P&L
$-2,187.12
Max Drawdown
-25.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-15.43

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-3.04%
Worst Trade
-3.49%
Avg Trade Return
-3.20%
Avg Hold Time
10.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$160,552.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,187.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,187.12
Gross Return
-7.86%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $27,833.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:55am ET $389.80 72 $28,065.60
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $376.18 72 $27,084.96 $27,280.86 $-980.64
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $366.70 74 $27,135.80
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $355.56 74 $26,311.59 $26,456.65 $-824.21
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:30pm ET $361.40 73 $26,382.56
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:15am ET $350.30 73 $25,571.90 $25,645.98 $-810.67
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,645.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,645.98
Total Return: +156.46%
Back to Marcus Reversal