Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.4/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 17.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 17.3

30-Day Momentum

3
-11.0%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,817.38
Current Value
$11,503.26
Period P&L
$-1,314.13
Max Drawdown
-36.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.61

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+5.17%
Worst Trade
-3.59%
Avg Trade Return
-1.94%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$135,216.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,314.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,314.13
Gross Return
-10.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,817.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:45am ET $934.46 13 $12,147.98
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $902.29 13 $11,729.77 $12,509.55 $-418.21
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $956.07 13 $12,428.91
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $921.77 13 $11,983.01 $12,063.65 $-445.90
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:45am ET $915.33 13 $11,899.29
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $884.98 13 $11,504.74 $11,669.10 $-394.55
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $914.31 12 $10,971.72
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:10am ET $882.69 12 $10,592.23 $11,289.61 $-379.49
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:45am ET $881.84 12 $10,582.08
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:40am ET $855.30 12 $10,263.66 $10,971.19 $-318.42
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $935.50 11 $10,290.50
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:55am ET $983.87 11 $10,822.57 $11,503.26 +$532.07
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,503.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,503.26
Total Return: +15.03%
Back to Marcus Reversal