Compendium › Marcus Reversal › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+11.48%
Last Month Return
$19,760.88
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$17,726.02
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.8/35
Total Return
16.6/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 34.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 34.2

30-Day Momentum

55
+14.8%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 83.8 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$17,726.02
Current Value
$19,760.88
Period P&L
$2,034.77
Max Drawdown
-43.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.92

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+7.28%
Worst Trade
-3.03%
Avg Trade Return
+3.61%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$152,546.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,034.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,034.77
Gross Return
+11.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $17,726.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $172.08 100 $17,208.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.60 100 $18,460.00 $18,462.12 +$1,251.99
(+7.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $188.51 97 $18,284.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $198.07 97 $19,212.31 $19,389.45 +$927.33
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $200.12 96 $19,211.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $210.40 96 $20,197.92 $20,375.86 +$986.41
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $209.21 97 $20,293.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET $202.87 97 $19,678.39 $19,760.88 $-614.98
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,760.88
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,760.88
Total Return: +97.61%
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