Compendium › Marcus Reversal › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-23 to present • 6 trades in period

-0.86%
Last Month Return
$20,565.14
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$20,742.64
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 03:12:40

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.5/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 35.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 35.2

30-Day Momentum

3
-3.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$20,742.64
Current Value
$20,565.14
Period P&L
$-177.59
Max Drawdown
-43.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+5.23%
Worst Trade
-3.63%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$245,641.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-177.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$-177.59
Gross Return
-0.86%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $20,742.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:40am ET $221.23 95 $21,016.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:10am ET $213.94 95 $20,324.30 $20,524.22 $-692.55
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $212.19 96 $20,370.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $223.11 96 $21,418.56 $21,572.54 +$1,048.32
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $222.95 96 $21,403.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $216.18 96 $20,753.28 $20,922.63 $-649.91
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:50am ET $212.40 98 $20,815.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $205.89 98 $20,177.26 $20,284.69 $-637.94
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $207.84 97 $20,160.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $200.29 97 $19,428.13 $19,552.34 $-732.35
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $201.88 96 $19,380.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 11:50am ET $212.43 96 $20,393.28 $20,565.14 +$1,012.80
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,565.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,565.14
Total Return: +105.65%
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