Compendium › Marcus Reversal › PYPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PYPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-5.19%
Last Month Return
$8,164.69
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$8,611.90
Period Start
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Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 5.7/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 5.5

30-Day Momentum

1
-4.7%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,611.90
Current Value
$8,164.69
Period P&L
$-447.21
Max Drawdown
-35.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.10%
Worst Trade
-3.36%
Avg Trade Return
-1.14%
Avg Hold Time
5.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$66,145.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-447.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-447.21
Gross Return
-5.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,611.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:40am ET $43.90 195 $8,561.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET $42.56 195 $8,298.23 $8,304.77 $-263.25
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $42.97 193 $8,294.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:35am ET $41.60 193 $8,027.84 $8,038.43 $-266.34
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $41.09 195 $8,012.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 11:40am ET $43.19 195 $8,421.08 $8,446.96 +$408.53
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $43.33 194 $8,406.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $41.88 194 $8,123.75 $8,164.69 $-282.27
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,164.69
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,835.31
Total Return: -18.35%
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