Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.4

30-Day Momentum

37
+11.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 42.7 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,726.96
Current Value
$6,378.69
Period P&L
$651.72
Max Drawdown
-51.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+10.69%
Worst Trade
-4.92%
Avg Trade Return
+1.24%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$116,106.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$651.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$651.72
Gross Return
+11.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $5,726.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:50pm ET $13.44 426 $5,726.80
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $14.12 426 $6,015.12 $6,015.29 +$288.32
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $16.80 358 $6,014.40
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $15.98 358 $5,720.84 $5,721.73 $-293.56
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $18.35 311 $5,708.40
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $17.58 311 $5,467.38 $5,480.71 $-241.02
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $16.56 331 $5,479.71
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.53 331 $5,802.43 $5,803.44 +$322.73
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:55am ET $17.74 327 $5,800.72
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:05pm ET $18.67 327 $6,103.46 $6,106.18 +$302.74
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $18.57 328 $6,090.96
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $17.92 328 $5,877.76 $5,892.98 $-213.20
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:05am ET $18.30 322 $5,892.60
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $17.40 322 $5,602.80 $5,603.18 $-289.80
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $16.33 343 $5,599.48
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET $15.82 343 $5,426.23 $5,429.93 $-173.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $16.78 323 $5,421.55
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $18.58 323 $6,001.34 $6,009.72 +$579.79
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $18.27 328 $5,992.59
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $19.40 328 $6,361.56 $6,378.69 +$368.97
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,378.69
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,621.31
Total Return: -36.21%
Back to Marcus Reversal