Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:10:40

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

9
-11.7%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$1,813.39
Current Value
$1,554.04
Period P&L
$-259.41
Max Drawdown
-88.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
3 / 8
Best Trade
+6.66%
Worst Trade
-7.58%
Avg Trade Return
-1.30%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$39,635.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-259.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-259.41
Gross Return
-14.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $1,813.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $37.06 48 $1,778.82
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:20am ET $39.53 48 $1,897.20 $1,931.83 +$118.38
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $45.88 42 $1,927.17
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $48.66 42 $2,043.72 $2,048.38 +$116.55
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $48.42 42 $2,033.63
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $46.69 42 $1,960.98 $1,975.73 $-72.65
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $47.32 41 $1,940.12
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $44.97 41 $1,843.85 $1,879.46 $-96.27
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $44.08 42 $1,851.36
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:10am ET $42.59 42 $1,788.94 $1,817.04 $-62.42
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:10am ET $35.90 50 $1,795.01
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:40am ET $34.58 50 $1,729.25 $1,751.28 $-65.76
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET $30.25 57 $1,724.25
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:40am ET $31.87 57 $1,816.59 $1,843.62 +$92.34
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:00am ET $30.30 60 $1,818.00
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $29.39 60 $1,763.10 $1,788.72 $-54.90
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 11:30am ET $29.16 61 $1,778.46
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $28.24 61 $1,722.34 $1,732.60 $-56.12
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $35.88 48 $1,722.24
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $33.16 48 $1,591.68 $1,602.04 $-130.56
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $32.88 48 $1,578.24
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $31.88 48 $1,530.24 $1,554.04 $-48.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,554.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,445.96
Total Return: -84.46%
Back to Marcus Reversal