Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:22:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

14
+1.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.8 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$1,563.28
Current Value
$1,583.09
Period P&L
$19.75
Max Drawdown
-88.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+5.80%
Worst Trade
-8.90%
Avg Trade Return
+0.32%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$26,463.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$19.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$19.75
Gross Return
+1.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $1,563.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:30am ET $22.69 68 $1,542.91
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $21.91 68 $1,489.88 $1,510.31 $-53.03
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $22.95 65 $1,491.75
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $24.22 65 $1,574.30 $1,592.86 +$82.55
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET $24.58 64 $1,573.12
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:30pm ET $25.85 64 $1,654.40 $1,674.14 +$81.28
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $27.41 61 $1,672.01
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $29.00 61 $1,769.00 $1,771.13 +$96.99
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $27.83 63 $1,752.98
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $29.35 63 $1,849.05 $1,867.20 +$96.07
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:20pm ET $29.10 64 $1,862.40
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $26.51 64 $1,696.64 $1,701.44 $-165.76
(-8.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 12:10pm ET $28.63 59 $1,689.17
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:20am ET $27.66 59 $1,631.65 $1,643.92 $-57.52
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:35pm ET $27.29 60 $1,637.63
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET $26.28 60 $1,576.80 $1,583.09 $-60.83
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,583.09
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,416.91
Total Return: -84.17%
Back to Marcus Reversal