Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:07

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

68
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.5/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 68.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 68.1

30-Day Momentum

73
+28.2%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 81.1 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$38,060.44
Current Value
$52,660.18
Period P&L
$14,599.78
Max Drawdown
-36.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.60

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+7.93%
Worst Trade
-4.69%
Avg Trade Return
+2.86%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,037,062.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$14,599.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$14,599.78
Gross Return
+38.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $38,060.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $53.88 706 $38,039.21
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $52.25 706 $36,888.50 $36,909.69 $-1,150.71
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $66.36 556 $36,896.16
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $70.07 556 $38,958.86 $38,972.39 +$2,062.70
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $76.45 509 $38,913.05
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $80.39 509 $40,918.51 $40,977.85 +$2,005.46
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:50am ET $83.84 488 $40,913.92
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $79.91 488 $38,996.08 $39,060.01 $-1,917.84
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $86.68 450 $39,003.80
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $92.75 450 $41,737.50 $41,793.71 +$2,733.70
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET $92.64 451 $41,780.64
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $98.35 451 $44,353.60 $44,366.67 +$2,572.96
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $103.86 427 $44,348.22
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $110.87 427 $47,341.49 $47,359.94 +$2,993.27
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $127.50 371 $47,302.50
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET $122.00 371 $45,263.11 $45,320.55 $-2,039.39
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET $113.45 399 $45,266.55
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:25am ET $109.76 399 $43,794.24 $43,848.24 $-1,472.31
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $115.15 380 $43,757.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $121.85 380 $46,303.00 $46,394.24 +$2,546.00
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:10am ET $126.51 366 $46,302.66
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:00am ET $133.07 366 $48,704.39 $48,795.97 +$2,401.73
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $144.53 337 $48,707.79
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $156.00 337 $52,572.00 $52,660.18 +$3,864.21
(+7.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $52,660.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$42,660.18
Total Return: +426.60%
Back to Marcus Reversal